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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2013
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-105 (OT)
21-26 27-29 30-22 21-22 9-6
Position#15
Record41-43
FormLLWWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game101.4
vs
Position#5
Record57-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game100.6
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
14 Aug 2021
DAL85
DEN89
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
06 Oct 2015
DAL86
DEN96
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
113-108
113
108
+5
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
94-95
94
95
-1
A05/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
117-108
117
108
+9
A06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
25-23
24-24
25-26
24-27
29-25
30-19
30-37
22-27
28-21
24-25
23-24
18-23
23-18
17-34
20-28
24-23
29-33
22-19
25-23
21-24
19-31
21-17
20-29
23-19
24-28
30-23
17-25
18-27
41-26
33-28
25-27
29-18
27-14
25-29
15-30
21-28
30-33
20-20
20-21
198.5Avg total
98.3Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (84)100.7101.4202.0-0.749%
Season at home (42)102.999.8202.7+3.160%
Season away (42)98.4103.0201.4-4.638%
Last 10 (10)98.3100.2198.5-1.960%
Last 5 (5)95.899.4195.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)98.899.0197.8-0.225%
vs Similar (23)102.8101.3204.1+1.565%
vs Weaker (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
114-104
114
104
+10
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
101-95
101
95
+6
H24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
86-110
86
110
-24
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
113-96
113
96
+17
A04/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
95-94
95
94
+1
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
132-114
132
114
+18
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
39-32
24-16
25-22
17-22
34-22
24-27
26-29
27-17
23-23
20-31
31-24
18-27
20-32
30-27
18-24
20-22
34-29
21-32
24-17
26-23
29-15
25-28
29-21
28-23
28-28
25-17
32-28
19-23
28-24
23-30
25-17
25-35
39-21
38-27
30-31
11-18
27-19
31-26
27-23
203.2Avg total
104.6Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)104.8100.6205.4+4.167%
Season at home (41)107.597.6205.1+9.990%
Season away (44)102.2103.4205.6-1.245%
Last 10 (10)104.698.6203.2+6.080%
Last 5 (5)109.095.4204.4+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)109.5103.5213.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (10)107.295.6202.8+11.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)109.3103.7212.9+5.678%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H29/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A03/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H11/04
NBA
99.4Avg total
50.5Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.949.7102.6+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.349.8102.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)53.649.7103.3+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)50.548.999.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.6100.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)46.848.895.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (23)54.449.4103.8+5.057%-
vs Weaker (3)49.353.3102.7-4.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A20/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A26/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A28/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A04/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
NBA
100.7Avg total
51.8Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.151.1105.2+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.848.4102.1+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)54.654.1108.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)51.848.9100.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)52.045.897.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.556.5117.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (10)54.348.3102.6+6.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)53.352.0105.3+1.356%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/13HPhoenix Suns91-102
08/04/13APortland Trail Blazers96-91
06/04/13ASacramento Kings117-108
05/04/13ADenver Nuggets94-95
03/04/13ALos Angeles Lakers81-101
30/03/13HChicago Bulls100-98
29/03/13HIndiana Pacers78-103
27/03/13HLos Angeles Clippers109-102 OT
24/03/13HUtah Jazz113-108
23/03/13HBoston Celtics104-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/13HSan Antonio Spurs96-86
07/04/13HHouston Rockets132-114
05/04/13HDallas Mavericks95-94
04/04/13AUtah Jazz113-96
30/03/13HBrooklyn Nets109-87
28/03/13ASan Antonio Spurs99-100
26/03/13ANew Orleans Pelicans86-110
24/03/13HSacramento Kings101-95
22/03/13HPhiladelphia 76ers101-100
20/03/13AOklahoma City Thunder114-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL49%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844242
Win %49%60%38%
Points / game100.7102.998.4
Allowed / game101.499.8103.0
Point differential-0.7+3.1-4.6
Avg total202.0202.7201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)50% (12)42% (12)
Overtime %12%10%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854144
Win %67%90%45%
Points / game104.8107.5102.2
Allowed / game100.697.6103.4
Point differential+4.1+9.9-1.2
Avg total205.4205.1205.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%49%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)75% (12)38% (13)
Overtime %6%5%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat87672077%102.194.8+7.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder86622472%105.496.6+8.9
3 San Antonio Spurs84602471%103.196.5+6.7
4 Denver Nuggets85572867%104.8100.6+4.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers87582967%100.694.6+6.1
6 Memphis Grizzlies86572966%94.090.2+3.7
7 New York Knicks85553065%99.996.2+3.7
8 Indiana Pacers86533362%94.690.7+3.9
9 Brooklyn Nets85503559%96.895.4+1.4
10 Golden State Warriors86503658%100.499.3+1.0
11 Houston Rockets86493757%105.7102.2+3.5
12 Chicago Bulls86483856%92.892.4+0.5
13 Atlanta Hawks87474054%98.097.1+1.0
14 Utah Jazz87464153%98.497.8+0.6
15 Boston Celtics85424349%96.296.6-0.4
16 Dallas Mavericks84414349%100.7101.4-0.7
17 Los Angeles Lakers87424548%100.7101.1-0.4
18 Milwaukee Bucks87404746%98.6100.0-1.4
19 Philadelphia 76ers86384844%93.796.2-2.5
20 Toronto Raptors85364942%97.398.6-1.4
21 Portland Trail Blazers85364942%97.9100.3-2.4
22 Minnesota Timberwolves84335139%95.196.9-1.8
23 Sacramento Kings85335239%100.1104.0-4.0
24 Washington Wizards88325636%93.496.0-2.6
25 Detroit Pistons88325636%94.298.2-4.0
26 New Orleans Pelicans88315735%93.397.0-3.7
27 Phoenix Suns86285833%95.1100.7-5.7
28 Cleveland Cavaliers85265931%96.5101.3-4.8
29 Orlando Magic87226525%94.6101.1-6.5
30 Charlotte Hornets87196822%92.7102.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dallas Mavericks212730219108
Denver Nuggets262922226105
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