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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 93-115
23-32 19-37 26-28 25-18
Position#17
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#11
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game97.5
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A01/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A03/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H06/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
112-103
112
103
+9
H10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
105-95
105
95
+10
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
92-106
92
106
-14
H19/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
94-105
94
105
-11
H25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
26-28
20-21
28-20
17-16
27-27
17-22
23-27
28-28
23-23
20-24
24-18
22-29
20-18
22-20
22-21
21-21
24-26
20-22
21-14
30-31
30-26
24-22
28-24
32-27
21-24
28-21
24-23
24-25
27-33
19-32
22-16
24-18
15-29
14-27
30-13
17-32
24-30
24-35
29-8
188.5Avg total
93.7Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.799.3189.0-9.70%
Season at home (2)93.0105.5198.5-12.50%
Season away (1)83.087.0170.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)93.794.8188.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)97.299.2196.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.799.3189.0-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (24)98.093.4191.4+4.771%
vs Weaker (3)114.391.7206.0+22.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
130-106
130
106
+24
H10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
W
134-111
134
111
+23
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
103-107
103
107
-4
A18/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A21/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H24/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
104-101
104
101
+3
H26/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
97-100
97
100
-3
A28/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-110
127
110
+17
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
110-85
110
85
+25
A23/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
40-28
36-18
29-37
31-32
23-22
44-37
36-20
31-29
27-32
20-21
25-25
33-24
27-35
22-27
21-21
15-31
29-28
22-22
23-25
31-26
18-30
24-15
21-26
26-20
19-25
26-24
33-32
28-25
22-25
26-22
21-28
34-28
29-21
34-32
30-29
26-16
26-34
27-21
31-14
212.1Avg total
109.1Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)118.597.5216.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)127.0110.0237.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)110.085.0195.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)109.1103.0212.1+6.150%
Last 5 (5)106.498.6205.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)101.3100.4201.8+0.944%
vs Weaker (14)112.496.0208.4+16.486%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +6.7+6.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A03/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H10/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A13/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H19/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A21/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
41-62
41
62
-21
H25/12
NBA
99.6Avg total
47.8Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.549.799.2-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.050.7101.7+0.335%-
Last 30 away (13)47.548.495.9-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)47.851.899.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)48.855.0103.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.755.799.3-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)49.348.898.1+0.646%-
vs Weaker (3)56.751.3108.0+5.333%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A14/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A18/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A21/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H24/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H26/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A23/12
NBA
107.4Avg total
54.0Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.450.7103.1+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.851.2107.9+5.646%-
Last 30 away (17)49.150.399.4-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)54.053.4107.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.850.0101.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)49.751.2100.9-1.631%-
vs Weaker (14)55.550.0105.5+5.557%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/11HMiami Heat94-105
21/12/11AOklahoma City Thunder83-87
19/12/11HOklahoma City Thunder92-106
13/06/11AMiami Heat105-95
10/06/11HMiami Heat112-103
08/06/11HMiami Heat86-83
06/06/11HMiami Heat86-88
03/06/11AMiami Heat95-93
01/06/11AMiami Heat84-92
26/05/11HOklahoma City Thunder100-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/11APhoenix Suns110-85
21/12/11HPhoenix Suns127-110
28/04/11AOklahoma City Thunder97-100
26/04/11HOklahoma City Thunder104-101
24/04/11HOklahoma City Thunder94-97
21/04/11AOklahoma City Thunder89-106
18/04/11AOklahoma City Thunder103-107
14/04/11AUtah Jazz103-107
12/04/11HGolden State Warriors134-111
10/04/11HMinnesota Timberwolves130-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game89.793.083.0
Allowed / game99.3105.587.0
Point differential-9.7-12.5-4.0
Avg total189.0198.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game118.5127.0110.0
Allowed / game97.5110.085.0
Point differential+21.0+17.0+25.0
Avg total216.0237.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver Nuggets220100%118.597.5+21.0
2 Philadelphia 76ers220100%102.086.0+16.0
3 Los Angeles Clippers330100%109.094.7+14.3
4 New Orleans Pelicans220100%96.085.0+11.0
5 Oklahoma City Thunder440100%98.591.0+7.5
6 Chicago Bulls330100%92.086.0+6.0
7 New York Knicks330100%95.389.7+5.7
8 Miami Heat32167%107.794.3+13.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%100.794.7+6.0
10 Boston Celtics32167%87.084.7+2.3
11 Charlotte Hornets32167%83.388.0-4.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers21150%99.591.0+8.5
13 Atlanta Hawks21150%84.577.0+7.5
14 Sacramento Kings21150%95.599.0-3.5
15 San Antonio Spurs21150%92.098.0-6.0
16 Orlando Magic42250%95.5102.5-7.0
17 Utah Jazz21150%91.099.5-8.5
18 Houston Rockets31233%97.096.0+1.0
19 Toronto Raptors31233%84.084.3-0.3
20 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%92.093.7-1.7
21 Indiana Pacers31233%87.389.0-1.7
22 Brooklyn Nets31233%85.088.0-3.0
23 Golden State Warriors31233%94.798.7-4.0
24 Detroit Pistons31233%85.390.3-5.0
25 Milwaukee Bucks3030%91.799.3-7.7
26 Los Angeles Lakers3030%95.0103.3-8.3
27 Dallas Mavericks3030%89.799.3-9.7
28 Memphis Grizzlies2020%85.096.0-11.0
29 Washington Wizards3030%85.398.0-12.7
30 Phoenix Suns2020%97.5118.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2319262593
Denver Nuggets32372818115
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