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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-99
22-20 29-37 24-14 13-28
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League· Cox Pavilion (Las Vegas)
Other2023
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
103-115
103
115
-12
87avg 111
H09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 111
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
112-88
112
88
+24
100avg 111
H14/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
116-123
116
123
-7
106avg 111
H18/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
105-111
105
111
-6
96avg 111
H20/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
102-128
102
128
-26
93avg 111
A22/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
116-99
116
99
+17
111avg 111
A24/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
110-97
110
97
+13
103avg 111
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
104-103
104
103
+1
97avg 111
A28/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
84-103
84
103
-19
71avg 111
H30/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
23-25
23-30
31-27
29-22
21-21
21-30
24-13
23-29
32-23
33-10
24-26
30-28
36-29
25-46
25-20
25-24
25-30
33-21
22-36
22-30
24-31
17-32
39-35
23-29
27-27
38-23
28-20
35-20
26-24
29-28
20-25
34-29
23-24
22-19
25-31
15-22
26-30
25-24
18-27
210.0Avg total
104.7Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)104.7105.3210.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)103.2106.0209.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)114.8102.4217.2+12.460%
vs Weaker (20)114.6110.0224.6+4.665%
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-110
97
110
-13
90avg 101
A26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
88avg 101
H28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 101
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 101
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
106avg 101
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
72avg 101
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
95-108
95
108
-13
88avg 101
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 101
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-35
24-26
28-29
25-20
29-34
24-23
19-22
31-25
22-15
30-26
24-25
27-18
20-29
22-30
21-25
30-20
26-23
25-34
24-26
36-25
24-24
24-29
20-29
26-27
21-20
30-35
22-31
22-22
24-22
27-22
20-26
18-24
22-16
36-24
26-27
23-23
14-21
26-26
30-21
13-27
198.1Avg total
97.5Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.5100.6198.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)93.699.2192.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)102.2104.2206.5-2.038%
vs Similar (16)113.3108.1221.4+5.269%
vs Weaker (1)107.090.0197.0+17.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H09/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H18/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H20/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A22/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A24/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A28/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H30/05
NBA
105.5Avg total
52.5Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.654.2112.8+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.852.5112.2+7.376%-
Last 30 away (13)57.156.5113.5+0.654%-
Last 10 (10)52.553.0105.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)51.053.2104.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)56.552.8109.3+3.770%-
vs Weaker (20)59.654.9114.5+4.865%-
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A26/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H28/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A30/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A02/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/07
California Classic
100.4Avg total
49.0Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.553.2106.7+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.951.7105.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)53.254.4107.6-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)49.051.4100.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)49.647.897.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.852.8103.5-2.038%-
vs Similar (16)55.454.4109.9+1.056%-
vs Weaker (1)58.040.098.0+18.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.625.1
55.0%
50.6%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.312.3
33.0%
32.2%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
72.6%17.6
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.925.2
46.8%
50.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.2
38.5%
32.2%36.6
🏀 Free throws17.114.2
83.0%
72.6%14.2
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWLLLWWL
Miami Heat
LWLLLWLWLL
-0.6
Net rating
-2.9
110.2
Offensive rating
108.7
110.9
Defensive rating
111.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
10.9%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
33.0%
3-point %
38.5%
58.0%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 108.7Defence110.9 · 111.6Shooting52.5% · 50.8%3-point %33.0% · 38.5%Ball care12.9% · 10.9%Off. rebounds23.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/23HMiami Heat84-103
28/05/23AMiami Heat104-103
26/05/23HMiami Heat110-97
24/05/23AMiami Heat116-99
22/05/23AMiami Heat102-128
20/05/23HMiami Heat105-111
18/05/23HMiami Heat116-123
14/05/23HPhiladelphia 76ers112-88
11/05/23APhiladelphia 76ers95-86
09/05/23HPhiladelphia 76ers103-115
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/23ASacramento Kings83-95
03/07/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-90
13/06/23ADenver Nuggets89-94
10/06/23HDenver Nuggets95-108
08/06/23HDenver Nuggets94-109
05/06/23ADenver Nuggets111-108
02/06/23ADenver Nuggets93-104
30/05/23ABoston Celtics103-84
28/05/23HBoston Celtics103-104
26/05/23ABoston Celtics97-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics2229241388
Miami Heat2037142899
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