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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2009
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-95
16-24 35-23 31-28 27-20
Position#5
Record58-29
FormWWLWW
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#9
Record54-33
FormWLWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game99.2
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
110-87
110
87
+23
A05/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
122-112
122
112
+10
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
102-116
102
116
-14
A10/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
118-98
118
98
+20
H14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
108-93
108
93
+15
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
121-63
121
63
+58
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
33-20
27-22
23-25
27-29
26-27
36-28
33-28
25-33
31-23
25-32
21-28
25-33
37-25
24-21
32-19
22-23
12-30
26-18
16-33
27-25
28-22
32-22
26-15
27-25
25-19
29-27
27-22
26-21
21-29
25-27
21-18
36-15
25-24
27-11
33-13
24-27
25-22
31-17
27-20
200.8Avg total
107.0Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)104.6100.0204.5+4.667%
Season at home (44)107.999.8207.7+8.182%
Season away (43)101.1100.1201.3+1.051%
Last 10 (10)107.093.8200.8+13.270%
Last 5 (5)108.484.2192.6+24.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)100.2101.5201.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (20)110.897.3208.1+13.480%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
W
130-101
130
101
+29
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
105-97
105
97
+8
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
33-28
32-29
37-27
30-17
19-22
28-22
23-31
–
–
–
–
26-18
14-25
28-31
28-20
26-19
16-31
23-20
30-14
18-29
27-20
29-25
31-23
19-30
27-27
17-28
21-20
27-16
19-14
29-12
13-25
32-29
19-26
29-16
19-19
31-20
21-28
30-19
24-26
192.0Avg total
99.5Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (87)101.499.2200.7+2.262%
Season at home (43)105.698.7204.3+6.979%
Season away (44)97.499.7197.1-2.345%
Last 10 (10)99.592.5192.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)96.490.4186.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.0104.5191.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)101.797.2198.8+4.574%
vs Weaker (9)107.7102.1209.8+5.667%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A05/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A10/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H14/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/04
NBA
102.1Avg total
52.9Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.248.8102.0+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.848.2103.0+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)51.249.5100.7+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)52.949.2102.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.898.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)50.748.699.3+2.160%-
vs Weaker (20)54.548.9103.3+5.670%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#11
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/04
NBA
94.2Avg total
48.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)52.450.6102.9+1.845%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.348.7102.0+4.753%-
Last 30 away (14)51.452.6103.9-1.236%-
Last 10 (9)48.046.294.2+1.844%-
Last 5 (5)48.047.895.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.556.5108.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.949.5101.4+2.444%-
vs Weaker (9)53.651.3104.9+2.244%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
0
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans107-86
28/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans121-63
25/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans93-95
23/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans108-93
20/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans113-84
16/04/09APortland Trail Blazers76-104
14/04/09HSacramento Kings118-98
10/04/09ALos Angeles Lakers102-116
09/04/09HOklahoma City Thunder122-112
05/04/09AMinnesota Timberwolves110-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs106-93
25/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs99-90
24/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs88-67
21/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs84-105
19/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs105-97
16/04/09HHouston Rockets95-84
14/04/09HMinnesota Timberwolves96-94
12/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans92-102
11/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans100-92
09/04/09HUtah Jazz130-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLLW51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874443
Win %67%82%51%
Points / game104.6107.9101.1
Allowed / game100.099.8100.1
Point differential+4.6+8.1+1.0
Avg total204.5207.7201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)62% (8)45% (11)
Overtime %2%2%2%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games874344
Win %62%79%45%
Points / game101.4105.697.4
Allowed / game99.298.799.7
Point differential+2.2+6.9-2.3
Avg total200.7204.3197.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%37%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (23)88% (16)57% (7)
Overtime %5%7%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers86701681%100.090.7+9.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers87691879%106.999.2+7.7
3 Boston Celtics89662374%101.894.6+7.3
4 Orlando Magic88632572%100.794.0+6.8
5 Denver Nuggets87582967%104.6100.0+4.6
6 Houston Rockets88573165%98.093.9+4.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers88563264%98.694.0+4.6
8 San Antonio Spurs87553263%96.793.5+3.2
9 Dallas Mavericks87543362%101.499.2+2.2
10 New Orleans Pelicans87503757%95.195.1+0.1
11 Atlanta Hawks89513857%97.395.9+1.4
12 Utah Jazz87493856%103.2101.2+2.0
13 Phoenix Suns82463656%109.4107.5+1.9
14 Miami Heat89464352%97.597.2+0.3
15 Chicago Bulls89444549%102.7103.2-0.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers88434549%96.897.2-0.5
17 Detroit Pistons86394745%93.594.7-1.2
18 Indiana Pacers82364644%105.1106.2-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets82354743%93.694.9-1.3
20 Milwaukee Bucks82344841%99.3100.4-1.1
21 Brooklyn Nets82344841%98.1100.5-2.4
22 Toronto Raptors82334940%99.0101.9-2.8
23 New York Knicks82325039%105.2107.8-2.6
24 Golden State Warriors82295335%108.6112.3-3.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves82245829%97.8102.7-4.9
26 Memphis Grizzlies82245829%93.999.3-5.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder82235928%97.0103.1-6.1
28 Washington Wizards82196323%96.1103.5-7.5
29 Los Angeles Clippers82196323%95.1103.9-8.8
30 Sacramento Kings82176521%100.6109.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets16353127109
Dallas Mavericks2423282095
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