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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 90-89
20-22 32-20 21-26 17-21
Position#17
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#14
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
08 Oct 2018
MIA90
ORL89
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
101-98
101
98
+3
91avg 95
H03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
115-86
115
86
+29
108avg 95
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
98-122
98
122
-24
85avg 95
A06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
93-115
93
115
-22
82avg 95
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
104avg 95
H12/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
103-130
103
130
-27
97avg 95
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
113-103
113
103
+10
108avg 95
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 95
H19/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-106
102
106
-4
84avg 95
H21/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
91-104
91
104
-13
76avg 95
A25/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
22-31
26-22
23-20
23-29
30-18
31-21
31-18
23-34
27-29
28-33
20-26
27-21
25-28
29-27
12-39
27-29
20-24
24-25
34-27
35-29
25-27
18-34
25-40
22-29
34-13
30-33
27-28
33-37
31-26
30-33
14-32
26-26
35-30
22-23
19-27
21-23
25-23
20-34
25-24
214.1Avg total
104.0Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)104.0110.1214.1-6.140%
Last 5 (5)103.4114.2217.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)105.0109.3214.3-4.344%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.7110.6220.3-0.940%
vs Weaker (6)113.098.5211.5+14.583%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
105-99
105
99
+6
106avg 94
H24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
104-111
104
111
-7
94avg 94
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 94
H30/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
88-94
88
94
-6
67avg 94
A01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
97-73
97
73
+24
94avg 94
A03/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
105-100
105
100
+5
100avg 94
H04/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
100-137
100
137
-37
86avg 94
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
101-112
101
112
-11
91avg 94
A08/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
86-102
86
102
-16
78avg 94
A10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
101-92
101
92
+9
93avg 94
H12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
12-23
39-28
28-25
33-36
18-22
30-27
23-26
24-30
20-27
25-9
13-24
18-21
25-35
21-13
24-25
27-25
19-20
22-16
29-12
33-22
23-29
21-23
28-26
25-43
24-29
26-31
25-34
24-35
26-26
24-28
27-23
21-31
21-14
25-29
19-28
26-23
29-22
21-30
25-17
197.9Avg total
96.9Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)96.9101.0197.9-4.140%
Last 5 (5)98.6108.6207.2-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)99.4107.9207.3-8.522%
vs Similar ◀ (11)99.399.4198.6-0.136%
vs Weaker (1)105.099.0204.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H03/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A06/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H09/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H12/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H19/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H21/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A25/04
NBA
107.2Avg total
54.1Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.751.7106.5+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.751.7108.4+5.076%-
Last 30 away (13)52.251.8103.9+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)54.153.1107.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.6110.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)54.950.2105.1+4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.652.8107.4+1.860%-
vs Weaker (6)54.851.3106.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#23
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A01/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H04/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
49-72
49
72
-23
H06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A08/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/04
NBA
101.0Avg total
47.4Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.354.8104.1-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.155.4106.4-4.333%-
Last 30 away (12)46.754.0100.7-7.325%-
Last 10 (10)47.453.6101.0-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)50.454.8105.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)50.257.1107.3-6.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)48.951.9100.8-3.027%-
vs Weaker (1)38.046.084.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.628.5
47.8%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.2
35.9%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.916.4
71.6%
76.6%16.4
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.927.6
47.7%
51.7%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.2
30.4%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
76.6%14.1
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWLWLLWW
Orlando Magic
WLLLWWLLLW
#17
League position
#14
-6.0
Net rating
-4.2
102.1
Offensive rating
98.2
108.1
Defensive rating
102.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
46.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.3%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.9%
3-point %
30.4%
59.7%
Assist %
65.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 98.2Defence108.1 · 102.4Shooting49.8% · 46.9%3-point %35.9% · 30.4%Ball care13.5% · 12.3%Off. rebounds21.5% · 20.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/18APhiladelphia 76ers91-104
21/04/18HPhiladelphia 76ers102-106
19/04/18HPhiladelphia 76ers108-128
17/04/18APhiladelphia 76ers113-103
15/04/18APhiladelphia 76ers103-130
12/04/18HToronto Raptors116-109 OT
09/04/18HOklahoma City Thunder93-115
06/04/18ANew York Knicks98-122
04/04/18AAtlanta Hawks115-86
03/04/18HAtlanta Hawks101-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/18HWashington Wizards101-92
10/04/18AMilwaukee Bucks86-102
08/04/18AToronto Raptors101-112
06/04/18HCharlotte Hornets100-137
04/04/18HDallas Mavericks105-100
03/04/18ANew York Knicks97-73
01/04/18AAtlanta Hawks88-94
30/03/18HChicago Bulls82-90
28/03/18HBrooklyn Nets104-111
24/03/18HPhoenix Suns105-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Orlando Magic
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2032211790
Orlando Magic2220262189
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