Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	99.0	107.8	206.8	-8.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	102.6	188.2	-17.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	99.8	115.7	215.4	-15.9	8%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	110.8	108.3	219.1	+2.4	44%
vs Weaker (9)	113.9	97.2	211.1	+16.7	78%

This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Orlando Magic USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMagic

Date

Competition

Atlanta Hawks

#18

119-112

119

112

111avg 94

H08/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

96-76

+20

87avg 94

H09/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

129-115

129

115

+14

128avg 94

A11/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

105-117

105

117

-12

96avg 94

A13/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

120-95

120

+25

119avg 94

H15/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

86-103

103

-17

74avg 94

A20/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

100-109

100

109

-9

84avg 94

A23/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

95-93

80avg 94

H25/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

98-107

107

-9

84avg 94

H27/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

89-120

120

-31

73avg 94

A30/04

NBA

30-31

36-26

26-27

27-28

27-21

22-20

31-20

16-15

29-29

43-20

37-27

20-39

24-31

22-27

38-34

21-25

32-17

29-30

18-26

41-22

18-26

31-22

18-30

19-25

21-23

26-27

24-31

29-28

31-27

18-32

24-11

22-23

29-32

19-21

27-26

23-28

27-23

22-24

13-36

27-37

208.4Avg total

103.7Scored

104.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	103.7	104.7	208.4	-1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	106.4	200.0	-12.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	95.3	105.0	200.3	-9.7	25%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	114.2	108.8	223.0	+5.3	54%
vs Weaker (5)	112.6	97.8	210.4	+14.8	100%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Miami HeatOrlando Magic

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	26.4	53.5	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	25.0	26.7	51.7	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	30.4	25.9	56.3	+4.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	27.5	51.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	27.4	45.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	24.3	29.0	53.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	30.2	25.2	55.4	+5.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (9)	27.9	24.0	51.9	+3.9	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	26.8	54.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.1	26.0	53.1	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.3	27.6	54.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	26.0	52.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	26.2	51.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	28.4	25.9	54.3	+2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	30.6	27.2	57.8	+3.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	26.4	53.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	26.8	26.1	52.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	26.7	26.8	53.5	-0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	27.1	52.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	25.6	27.5	53.1	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	26.7	26.7	53.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.4	24.6	53.0	+3.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	25.0	53.1	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.0	25.8	52.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.4	24.0	53.4	+5.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	24.9	51.7	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.2	48.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	24.2	24.9	49.1	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	30.7	26.8	57.5	+3.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	31.0	20.2	51.2	+10.8	100%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#29

60-66

-6

H13/04

NBA

Chicago Bulls

#19

71-47

+24

A16/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

62-53

A18/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

54-62

-8

A20/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

51-68

-17

A23/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

42-62

-20

H26/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

33-72

-39

H28/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

32-29

H05/07

California Classic

Los Angeles Lakers

38-51

-13

H06/07

California Classic

Golden State Warriors

48-36

+12

A08/07

California Classic

103.7Avg total

49.1Scored

54.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.9	52.7	106.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	51.8	52.7	104.6	-0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	57.1	52.8	109.8	+4.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	54.6	103.7	-5.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	50.0	88.6	-11.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	49.9	56.5	106.4	-6.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	56.9	51.9	108.8	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	56.3	48.6	104.9	+7.8	89%	-

This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atlanta Hawks

#18

66-57

H08/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

49-41

H09/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

72-49

+23

A11/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

46-58

-12

A13/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

61-47

+14

H15/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

49-48

A20/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

47-50

-3

A23/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

49-59

-10

H25/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

48-53

-5

H27/04

NBA

Boston Celtics

49-47

A30/04

NBA

104.5Avg total

53.6Scored

50.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	55.3	51.7	107.1	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	54.1	51.8	105.9	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	56.7	51.6	108.4	+5.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.6	50.9	104.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	51.4	99.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	48.7	52.4	101.1	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	59.1	52.8	111.8	+6.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	61.6	47.4	109.0	+14.2	100%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	28.1	55.7	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.1	28.4	56.5	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	26.8	27.7	54.5	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	26.2	50.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.6	51.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	26.2	31.3	57.6	-5.1	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	28.2	27.7	55.9	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.8	24.2	53.0	+4.6	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.5	26.6	52.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.7	26.3	52.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.2	27.0	52.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	26.8	52.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	26.8	48.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.2	25.7	48.9	-2.4	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	27.5	28.4	55.9	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.4	24.4	49.8	+1.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	26.5	51.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	27.1	50.8	-3.3	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	27.1	25.7	52.8	+1.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	26.2	50.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	26.0	48.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.6	27.8	51.4	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.3	26.8	50.1	-3.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.8	24.4	53.2	+4.3	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	27.1	52.7	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.4	26.2	52.6	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	28.1	52.8	-3.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	27.0	51.5	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	28.2	52.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.4	26.9	50.3	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	27.5	27.7	55.2	-0.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.6	26.0	51.6	-0.4	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.7	54.6	107.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	51.8	55.4	107.3	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	53.9	53.3	107.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	52.4	100.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	52.6	99.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	49.8	59.2	109.0	-9.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	51.6	54.4	106.0	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	57.6	48.7	106.2	+8.9	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.0	53.7	104.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.1	52.5	104.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.9	55.1	105.0	-5.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.1	53.8	103.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	55.0	100.2	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	46.7	52.6	99.2	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	55.1	56.1	111.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	51.0	50.4	101.4	+0.6	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game

49%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.8	25.6	55.9%	54.8%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	11.5	33.5%	35.8%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.1	73.6%	78.1%	13.1

They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game

49%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.0	28.0	53.8%	54.8%	56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.1	11.0	32.3%	35.8%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.7	71.7%	78.1%	14.7

They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	24.9	55.8%	54.8%	49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.2	13.9	36.4%	35.8%	41.7
🏀 Free throws	19.6	15.9	81.1%	78.1%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.4	26.1	52.8%	54.8%	52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	11.3	34.6%	35.8%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	23.6	18.6	78.8%	78.1%	18.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.1	27.9	54.6%	54.8%	55.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.1	12.7	37.2%	35.8%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.3	76.1%	78.1%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.1	27.5	52.8%	54.8%	55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.5	11.3	33.7%	35.8%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.5	79.0%	78.1%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.0	26.7	55.6%	54.8%	53.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	13.4	36.2%	35.8%	40.2
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.2	78.2%	78.1%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.5	25.8	52.2%	54.8%	51.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	11.9	36.3%	35.8%	35.6
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.1	77.5%	78.1%	18.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Miami Heat

WLWLLLLWWL

Orlando Magic

LLWLLWLWWW

#17

League position

#13

-9.1

Net rating

-1.0

104.6

Offensive rating

108.6

113.7

Defensive rating

109.7

53.5%

Effective FG%

51.7%

55.3%

Opp. effective FG%

52.4%

16.5%

Turnover %

12.4%

23.2%

Off. rebound %

26.1%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.24

33.5%

3-point %

32.3%

60.1%

Assist %

57.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Miami Heat ■ Orlando Magic

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Miami Heat wins

Orlando Magic wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/25	Miami Heat v Orlando Magic	125-119 OT
27/12/24	Orlando Magic v Miami Heat	88-89
22/12/24	Orlando Magic v Miami Heat	121-114
23/10/24	Miami Heat v Orlando Magic	97-116
07/02/24	Miami Heat v Orlando Magic	121-95
21/01/24	Orlando Magic v Miami Heat	105-87
13/01/24	Miami Heat v Orlando Magic	99-96
21/12/23	Orlando Magic v Miami Heat	106-115
09/04/23	Miami Heat v Orlando Magic	123-110
12/03/23	Orlando Magic v Miami Heat	126-114 OT

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/25	A	Golden State Warriors	93-79
06/07/25	H	Los Angeles Lakers	83-103
05/07/25	H	San Antonio Spurs	82-69
28/04/25	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	83-138
26/04/25	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	87-124
23/04/25	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	112-121
20/04/25	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	100-121
18/04/25	A	Atlanta Hawks	123-114 OT
16/04/25	A	Chicago Bulls	109-90
13/04/25	H	Washington Wizards	118-119

Orlando Magiclast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/25	A	Boston Celtics	89-120
27/04/25	H	Boston Celtics	98-107
25/04/25	H	Boston Celtics	95-93
23/04/25	A	Boston Celtics	100-109
20/04/25	A	Boston Celtics	86-103
15/04/25	H	Atlanta Hawks	120-95
13/04/25	A	Atlanta Hawks	105-117
11/04/25	A	Indiana Pacers	129-115
09/04/25	H	Boston Celtics	96-76
08/04/25	H	Atlanta Hawks	119-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat

NBA 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Orlando Magic

NBA 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Miami Heat	29	32	32	25	118
Orlando Magic	21	29	40	36	126

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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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