Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	117.3	116.2	233.5	+1.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	110.2	117.8	228.0	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	102.5	116.5	219.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (23)	117.9	115.5	233.4	+2.4	57%
vs Weaker (5)	122.4	112.4	234.8	+10.0	80%

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#29

118-119

118

119

-1

111avg 103

H13/04

NBA

Chicago Bulls

#19

109-90

109

+19

108avg 103

A16/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

123-114 OT

123

114

122avg 103

A18/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

100-121

100

121

-21

93avg 103

A20/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

112-121

112

121

-9

108avg 103

A23/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

87-124

124

-37

72avg 103

H26/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

83-138

138

-55

66avg 103

H28/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

82-69

+13

92avg 103

H05/07

California Classic

Los Angeles Lakers

83-103

103

-20

70avg 103

H06/07

California Classic

Golden State Warriors

93-79

+14

92avg 103

A08/07

California Classic

28-30

32-36

26-28

32-25

39-28

32-19

17-27

21-16

33-24

29-29

24-24

20-29

24-31

30-31

25-25

21-34

24-25

27-43

29-25

32-28

20-33

22-29

22-26

23-36

17-43

16-29

30-39

20-27

12-13

20-16

24-22

26-18

20-26

18-25

24-25

21-27

23-22

25-14

22-21

23-22

206.8Avg total

99.0Scored

107.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	99.0	107.8	206.8	-8.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	102.6	188.2	-17.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	99.8	115.7	215.4	-15.9	8%
vs Similar (9)	110.8	108.3	219.1	+2.4	44%
vs Weaker (9)	113.9	97.2	211.1	+16.7	78%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.3	29.6	58.9	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.2	28.5	58.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.4	30.8	59.2	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	28.8	57.3	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	28.4	55.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	29.0	58.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	29.8	30.0	59.9	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.0	28.0	55.0	-1.0	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	26.4	53.5	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	25.0	26.7	51.7	-1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	30.4	25.9	56.3	+4.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	27.5	51.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	27.4	45.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	24.3	29.0	53.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	30.2	25.2	55.4	+5.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (9)	27.9	24.0	51.9	+3.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	29.5	57.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.3	31.0	58.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.8	28.0	56.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	29.1	55.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	30.8	53.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	28.5	46.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	28.0	30.0	58.0	-2.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.8	27.4	60.2	+5.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	26.4	53.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	26.8	26.1	52.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	26.7	26.8	53.5	-0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	27.1	52.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	25.6	27.5	53.1	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	26.7	26.7	53.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.4	24.6	53.0	+3.9	67%	-

Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Orleans Pelicans

#27

58-53

A07/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

45-56

-11

H09/04

NBA

New Orleans Pelicans

#27

62-54

H11/04

NBA

Detroit Pistons

#14

68-65

A11/04

NBA

Detroit Pistons

#14

71-55

+16

H13/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

43-67

-24

A19/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

60-68

-8

A22/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

47-57

-10

H26/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

52-63

-11

H28/04

NBA

Indiana Pacers

47-41

A29/04

NBA

113.2Avg total

55.3Scored

57.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	57.4	59.1	116.5	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	57.5	59.5	117.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	57.2	58.8	116.0	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.3	57.9	113.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	59.2	109.0	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.5	57.5	104.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	57.8	60.1	117.9	-2.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (5)	59.8	55.4	115.2	+4.4	100%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Washington Wizards

#29

60-66

-6

H13/04

NBA

Chicago Bulls

#19

71-47

+24

A16/04

NBA

Atlanta Hawks

#18

62-53

A18/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

54-62

-8

A20/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

51-68

-17

A23/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

42-62

-20

H26/04

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

33-72

-39

H28/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

32-29

H05/07

California Classic

Los Angeles Lakers

38-51

-13

H06/07

California Classic

Golden State Warriors

48-36

+12

A08/07

California Classic

103.7Avg total

49.1Scored

54.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.9	52.7	106.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	51.8	52.7	104.6	-0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	57.1	52.8	109.8	+4.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.1	54.6	103.7	-5.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	50.0	88.6	-11.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	49.9	56.5	106.4	-6.6	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	56.9	51.9	108.8	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	56.3	48.6	104.9	+7.8	89%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.8	27.9	57.7	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.3	28.2	58.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	29.3	27.6	56.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.2	30.6	60.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	29.4	61.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.0	30.5	59.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	29.8	27.8	57.6	+2.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	30.2	27.4	57.6	+2.8	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.6	28.1	55.7	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.1	28.4	56.5	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	26.8	27.7	54.5	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	26.2	50.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.6	51.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	26.2	31.3	57.6	-5.1	8%	-
vs Similar (9)	28.2	27.7	55.9	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.8	24.2	53.0	+4.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.1	27.0	56.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	30.7	28.3	58.9	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.5	25.7	53.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	25.1	53.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	26.0	51.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	28.5	55.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	28.5	26.3	54.8	+2.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.4	29.6	62.0	+2.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	26.5	51.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.7	27.1	50.8	-3.3	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	27.1	25.7	52.8	+1.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	26.2	50.1	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	26.0	48.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.6	27.8	51.4	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.3	26.8	50.1	-3.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	28.8	24.4	53.2	+4.3	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.9	54.9	113.8	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	60.9	56.5	117.4	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	56.8	53.3	110.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.8	55.7	114.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.4	55.4	112.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.0	59.0	115.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	58.3	54.1	112.4	+4.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	62.6	57.0	119.6	+5.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.7	54.6	107.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	51.8	55.4	107.3	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	53.9	53.3	107.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	52.4	100.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	52.6	99.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	49.8	59.2	109.0	-9.3	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	51.6	54.4	106.0	-2.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (9)	57.6	48.7	106.2	+8.9	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.9	27.1	54.3%	50.3%	54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.6	15.3	39.6%	31.5%	45.9
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.2	72.3%	72.4%	17.2

They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.8	25.6	55.9%	50.3%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	11.5	33.5%	31.5%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.1	73.6%	72.4%	13.1

They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.6	28.7	55.6%	50.3%	57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	40.1	15.2	37.9%	31.5%	45.6
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.0	75.1%	72.4%	13.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	24.9	55.8%	50.3%	49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.2	13.9	36.4%	31.5%	41.7
🏀 Free throws	19.6	15.9	81.1%	72.4%	15.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	28.5	57.0%	50.3%	57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.5	13.9	39.1%	31.5%	41.6
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	72.4%	19.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.1	27.9	54.6%	50.3%	55.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.1	12.7	37.2%	31.5%	38.1
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.3	76.1%	72.4%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.7	28.9	55.9%	50.3%	57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.4	14.3	36.2%	31.5%	42.8
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.4	77.1%	72.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.0	26.7	55.6%	50.3%	53.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	13.4	36.2%	31.5%	40.2
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.2	78.2%	72.4%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Milwaukee Bucks

LLWLLWWWWW

Miami Heat

WLWLLLLWWL

+1.3

Net rating

-9.1

115.5

Offensive rating

104.6

114.2

Defensive rating

113.7

56.6%

Effective FG%

53.5%

56.2%

Opp. effective FG%

55.3%

11.6%

Turnover %

16.5%

21.4%

Off. rebound %

23.2%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.22

39.6%

3-point %

33.5%

61.8%

Assist %

60.1%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Milwaukee Bucks ■ Miami Heat

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Milwaukee Bucks wins

Miami Heat wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/25	Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks	115-121 OT
23/02/25	Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat	120-113
24/01/25	Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat	125-96
27/11/24	Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks	103-106
14/02/24	Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat	97-123
29/11/23	Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks	124-131
31/10/23	Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat	122-114
27/04/23	Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat	126-128 OT
24/04/23	Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks	119-114
22/04/23	Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks	121-99

Milwaukee Buckslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/25	A	Indiana Pacers	118-119 OT
28/04/25	H	Indiana Pacers	103-129
26/04/25	H	Indiana Pacers	117-101
22/04/25	A	Indiana Pacers	115-123
19/04/25	A	Indiana Pacers	98-117
13/04/25	H	Detroit Pistons	140-133 OT
11/04/25	A	Detroit Pistons	125-119
11/04/25	H	New Orleans Pelicans	136-111
09/04/25	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	110-103
07/04/25	A	New Orleans Pelicans	111-107

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/07/25	A	Golden State Warriors	93-79
06/07/25	H	Los Angeles Lakers	83-103
05/07/25	H	San Antonio Spurs	82-69
28/04/25	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	83-138
26/04/25	H	Cleveland Cavaliers	87-124
23/04/25	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	112-121
20/04/25	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	100-121
18/04/25	A	Atlanta Hawks	123-114 OT
16/04/25	A	Chicago Bulls	109-90
13/04/25	H	Washington Wizards	118-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Miami Heat

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2025

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Milwaukee Bucks	24	28	21	19	92
Miami Heat	29	23	27	14	93

← all games of the day

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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