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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-88
17-24 24-21 21-22 15-21
Position#18
Record38-47
FormLWLLL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#1
Record69-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
103-113 OT
103
113
-10
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
111-112
111
112
-1
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
87-110
87
110
-23
A21/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
A23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H25/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
35-26
19-13
20-28
21-26
25-21
13-24
24-23
16-30
29-18
21-22
29-25
30-24
24-16
28-35
22-34
23-24
21-25
15-27
26-19
26-32
27-24
24-25
34-31
21-30
24-21
23-19
27-19
24-26
21-26
20-28
22-30
23-25
20-22
22-21
21-30
30-21
20-27
18-30
23-26
195.2Avg total
94.5Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)98.5100.5199.0-2.045%
Season at home (42)101.0101.2202.3-0.250%
Season away (43)96.099.8195.8-3.840%
Last 10 (10)94.5100.7195.2-6.220%
Last 5 (5)94.0102.6196.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)93.2104.2197.3-11.017%
vs Similar (14)103.4103.4206.9+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)108.5104.8213.2+3.850%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
103-98
103
98
+5
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
109-101
109
101
+8
H12/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A15/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H18/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
110-87
110
87
+23
H21/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H23/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A25/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
17-28
27-30
29-11
26-21
21-25
24-13
23-24
25-22
21-28
23-22
34-26
17-27
41-23
29-25
22-26
30-22
26-32
30-23
19-16
18-22
31-30
31-19
16-24
29-20
26-27
30-27
20-19
26-24
26-21
28-20
30-22
25-23
22-20
21-22
30-21
21-30
27-20
30-18
26-23
194.4Avg total
103.0Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)102.994.8197.7+8.281%
Season at home (43)106.395.2201.5+11.091%
Season away (42)99.594.3193.8+5.271%
Last 10 (10)103.091.4194.4+11.6100%
Last 5 (5)102.690.4193.0+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)93.893.0186.8+0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)102.390.8193.1+11.496%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A21/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H25/04
NBA
96.6Avg total
48.6Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.950.7100.6-0.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.251.8104.0+0.429%-
Last 30 away (16)47.949.897.6-1.919%-
Last 10 (10)48.648.096.6+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.250.898.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)47.650.898.4-3.217%-
vs Similar (14)51.750.0101.7+1.729%-
vs Weaker (4)50.552.8103.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H12/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A15/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H18/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H21/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A25/04
NBA
99.1Avg total
50.8Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.347.497.7+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.946.498.3+5.587%-
Last 30 away (15)48.748.497.1+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)50.848.399.1+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.497.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.248.895.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)50.947.298.1+3.769%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/13HMiami Heat91-104
23/04/13AMiami Heat86-98
21/04/13AMiami Heat87-110
18/04/13AOklahoma City Thunder95-89
16/04/13HDenver Nuggets111-112
13/04/13ACharlotte Hornets85-95
12/04/13AAtlanta Hawks104-109
10/04/13AOrlando Magic103-113 OT
09/04/13AMiami Heat83-94
07/04/13HToronto Raptors100-83
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/13AMilwaukee Bucks104-91
23/04/13HMilwaukee Bucks98-86
21/04/13HMilwaukee Bucks110-87
18/04/13HOrlando Magic105-93
15/04/13ACleveland Cavaliers96-95
14/04/13HChicago Bulls105-93
12/04/13HBoston Celtics109-101
10/04/13AWashington Wizards103-98
09/04/13HMilwaukee Bucks94-83
06/04/13HPhiladelphia 76ers106-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854243
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game98.5101.096.0
Allowed / game100.5101.299.8
Point differential-2.0-0.2-3.8
Avg total199.0202.3195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)50% (12)58% (12)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %81%91%71%
Points / game102.9106.399.5
Allowed / game94.895.294.3
Point differential+8.2+11.0+5.2
Avg total197.7201.5193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%58%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (20)86% (7)69% (13)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat85691681%102.994.8+8.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder85632274%105.996.6+9.3
3 San Antonio Spurs85612472%103.196.3+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets85582768%106.2101.4+4.7
5 Los Angeles Clippers86582867%100.794.7+6.0
6 Memphis Grizzlies86582867%93.589.4+4.1
7 New York Knicks86572966%99.495.0+4.4
8 Indiana Pacers84513361%94.890.8+4.0
9 Brooklyn Nets86503658%97.095.3+1.7
10 Golden State Warriors85493658%101.6100.5+1.0
11 Chicago Bulls86483856%93.593.2+0.3
12 Houston Rockets85454053%105.7102.7+2.9
13 Los Angeles Lakers85454053%101.6101.2+0.5
14 Atlanta Hawks85454053%97.897.5+0.3
15 Utah Jazz82433952%98.098.1-0.1
16 Dallas Mavericks82414150%101.1101.7-0.6
17 Boston Celtics85424349%95.896.3-0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks85384745%98.5100.5-2.0
19 Toronto Raptors82344841%97.298.7-1.5
20 Philadelphia 76ers82344841%93.296.5-3.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%97.5100.7-3.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves82315138%95.798.1-2.4
23 Washington Wizards82295335%93.295.8-2.5
24 Detroit Pistons82295335%94.998.8-4.0
25 Sacramento Kings82285434%100.2105.1-4.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans82275533%94.197.9-3.9
27 Phoenix Suns82255730%95.2101.6-6.5
28 Cleveland Cavaliers82245829%96.5101.2-4.7
29 Charlotte Hornets82216126%93.4102.7-9.2
30 Orlando Magic82206224%94.1101.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1724211577
Miami Heat2421222188
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