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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Jul 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 96-92
22-24 26-28 22-16 26-24
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.5
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
11 Apr 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
04 Oct 2025
MIA118
ORL126
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
09 Jul 2019
MIA96
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
08 Oct 2018
MIA90
ORL89
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
18 Oct 2016
MIA107
ORL77
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
07 Oct 2015
MIA97
ORL100
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
07 Oct 2014
MIA101
ORL108
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
18 Oct 2008
MIA92
ORL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#11
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
94-113
94
113
-19
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A02/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
China
#31
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#23
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
18-24
32-30
21-29
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
30-20
37-20
19-14
20-25
17-21
19-24
27-26
26-17
12-15
18-23
15-12
28-15
27-13
32-12
29-19
15-18
19-17
29-17
18-20
27-27
192.7Avg total
100.0Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.071.5169.5+26.5100%
Season at home (1)103.062.0165.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)100.092.7192.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)92.875.0167.8+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)107.0119.5226.5-12.517%
vs Similar (15)105.3100.5205.9+4.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)102.890.4193.2+12.389%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
149-113
149
113
+36
H05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
122-114
122
114
+8
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
104-101
104
101
+3
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
82-111
82
111
-29
A17/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H19/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
85-107
85
107
-22
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
96-115
96
115
-19
A23/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#28
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-18
39-30
32-32
36-33
27-27
21-25
35-26
33-30
30-25
32-33
35-30
25-26
25-30
32-19
18-27
29-25
18-26
21-25
27-39
16-21
21-26
24-22
20-28
28-22
26-28
16-30
28-24
15-25
19-35
28-32
23-32
26-16
30-17
29-20
16-22
0-0
17-24
19-20
18-15
25-25
201.1Avg total
100.1Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)100.1101.0201.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)85.692.6178.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)98.1105.9204.0-7.838%
vs Similar (13)111.0107.8218.8+3.269%
vs Weaker (9)104.895.9200.7+8.956%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#11
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H03/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A02/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Sacramento Kings
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/07
NBA - Sacramento Summer League
China
#31
W
59-25
59
25
+34
H05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Utah Jazz
#23
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
97.4Avg total
52.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.150.5104.6+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.549.7105.3+5.853%-
Last 30 away (15)52.751.3104.0+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)52.345.197.4+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.036.484.4+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.256.2117.3+5.067%-
vs Similar (15)52.151.0103.1+1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)52.945.998.8+7.044%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
81-48
81
48
+33
H05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A11/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A13/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A17/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H19/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H21/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A23/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H06/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Denver Nuggets
#28
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
102.8Avg total
51.6Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.253.0107.2+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.449.4107.8+9.069%-
Last 30 away (17)51.055.8106.8-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)51.651.2102.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.896.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)49.254.5103.8-5.238%-
vs Similar (13)55.356.5111.8-1.223%-
vs Weaker (9)57.046.7103.7+10.378%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.530.0
53.1%
-60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.4
30.3%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
-14.0
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.827.7
51.5%
-55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.6
34.2%
-34.8
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
-16.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jul 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWWLWLLL
Orlando Magic
LWLLLLWWWW
#9
League position
#16
-1.1
Net rating
-1.8
102.6
Offensive rating
107.0
103.7
Defensive rating
108.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
34.2%
63.9%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/19AUtah Jazz93-81
05/07/19HChina103-62
03/07/19AGolden State Warriors73-65
03/07/19ASacramento Kings89-88
02/07/19ALos Angeles Lakers106-79
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111
03/04/19HBoston Celtics102-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/19ADenver Nuggets79-84
06/07/19HSan Antonio Spurs75-59
23/04/19AToronto Raptors96-115
21/04/19HToronto Raptors85-107
19/04/19HToronto Raptors93-98
17/04/19AToronto Raptors82-111
13/04/19AToronto Raptors104-101
11/04/19ACharlotte Hornets122-114
07/04/19ABoston Celtics116-108
05/04/19HAtlanta Hawks149-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0103.093.0
Allowed / game71.562.081.0
Point differential+26.5+41.0+12.0
Avg total169.5165.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.075.079.0
Allowed / game71.559.084.0
Point differential+5.5+16.0-5.0
Avg total148.5134.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat220100%98.071.5+26.5
2 Memphis Grizzlies220100%94.075.0+19.0
3 Detroit Pistons330100%97.079.0+18.0
4 Boston Celtics220100%92.577.0+15.5
5 Minnesota Timberwolves330100%91.777.3+14.3
6 Sacramento Kings220100%99.589.0+10.5
7 Denver Nuggets110100%84.079.0+5.0
8 Phoenix Suns110100%105.0100.0+5.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans32167%89.376.7+12.7
10 Dallas Mavericks32167%103.392.7+10.7
11 Brooklyn Nets32167%84.779.7+5.0
12 Golden State Warriors32167%84.381.3+3.0
13 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%78.078.3-0.3
14 San Antonio Spurs32167%86.087.0-1.0
15 Orlando Magic21150%77.071.5+5.5
16 Washington Wizards21150%84.583.5+1.0
17 Utah Jazz21150%79.579.5+0.0
18 Los Angeles Clippers21150%84.087.0-3.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers21150%85.090.0-5.0
20 Milwaukee Bucks31233%95.396.7-1.3
21 Charlotte Hornets31233%89.791.7-2.0
22 Philadelphia 76ers31233%90.095.3-5.3
23 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%76.383.0-6.7
24 Chicago Bulls31233%81.089.0-8.0
25 China31233%74.392.3-18.0
26 New York Knicks2020%87.092.5-5.5
27 Toronto Raptors2020%80.586.5-6.0
28 Los Angeles Lakers3030%81.092.3-11.3
29 Croatia3030%71.384.7-13.3
30 Atlanta Hawks2020%74.589.5-15.0
31 Houston Rockets2020%84.0105.0-21.0
32 Indiana Pacers2020%79.5101.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2226222696
Orlando Magic2428162492
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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