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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 136-134 (OT)
36-43 29-29 27-24 32-28 12-10
Position#6
Record49-28
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.4
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#2
Record57-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
118avg 113
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
124-96
124
96
+28
128avg 113
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
118-125
118
125
-7
117avg 113
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
121-115
121
115
+6
117avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
128-112
128
112
+16
131avg 113
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
125-123
125
123
+2
128avg 113
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
142-135
142
135
+7
145avg 113
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-129
135
129
+6
133avg 113
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
116-93
116
93
+23
114avg 113
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 113
A02/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-34
24-27
37-26
31-31
38-22
34-18
28-31
24-25
30-31
30-29
31-39
27-26
27-30
30-23
28-41
36-21
42-40
33-29
32-24
21-19
28-35
39-22
30-38
28-28
34-33
34-26
43-41
31-35
37-26
25-36
36-43
37-24
23-28
23-25
40-21
30-19
39-28
29-26
29-36
33-27
243.6Avg total
126.4Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)121.4116.6238.0+4.864%
Season at home (37)119.4114.4233.8+5.065%
Season away (40)123.2118.7241.9+4.662%
Last 10 (10)126.4117.2243.6+9.280%
Last 5 (5)129.6119.4249.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)119.3125.7245.0-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (14)119.4117.6236.9+1.850%
vs Weaker (13)127.7115.5243.2+12.285%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
119-115
119
115
+4
112avg 113
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
132-104
132
104
+28
139avg 113
A18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
101-100
101
100
+1
93avg 113
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
134avg 113
H22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
136-111
136
111
+25
137avg 113
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
123-98
123
98
+25
131avg 113
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
127-95
127
95
+32
127avg 113
A28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
129-114
129
114
+15
128avg 113
H31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
127-113
127
113
+14
125avg 113
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
118-99
118
99
+19
119avg 113
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-37
37-15
26-30
27-33
39-22
39-25
34-34
20-23
24-26
28-33
21-20
28-21
42-29
24-24
34-32
34-34
38-31
38-27
32-23
28-30
38-19
19-25
41-20
25-34
37-24
30-21
35-34
25-16
29-28
35-19
38-35
27-32
35-26
35-23
26-34
31-30
33-25
35-19
19-34
31-21
231.4Avg total
124.6Scored
106.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)119.5111.1230.6+8.576%
Season at home (36)120.5111.8232.3+8.781%
Season away (39)118.7110.4229.1+8.372%
Last 10 (10)124.6106.8231.4+17.8100%
Last 5 (5)124.8103.8228.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)118.0112.7230.7+5.367%
vs Weaker (21)125.5108.4233.9+17.1100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +7.7+7.7Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +8.9+8.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
72-40
72
40
+32
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A25/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A02/04
NBA
119.3Avg total
62.5Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.657.5117.1+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.954.8113.8+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)60.460.5120.9-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)62.556.8119.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)62.257.0119.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.059.3117.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.756.1110.8-1.450%-
vs Weaker (13)65.358.5123.8+6.854%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A17/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
78-47
78
47
+31
A18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A23/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
67-45
67
45
+22
A28/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-49
70
49
+21
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A03/04
NBA
116.2Avg total
66.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)65.255.1120.3+10.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.456.7121.1+7.771%-
Last 30 away (16)65.953.7119.6+12.275%-
Last 10 (10)66.449.8116.2+16.690%-
Last 5 (5)65.245.8111.0+19.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)60.454.9115.3+5.667%-
vs Weaker (21)67.255.2122.4+12.076%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 126.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.028.5
57.0%
54.8%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.116.6
42.5%
35.8%49.8
🏀 Free throws24.719.6
79.4%
78.1%19.6
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 124.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.331.8
59.7%
54.8%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.914.4
37.0%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.8
80.9%
78.1%17.8
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWLWL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+8.8
Net rating
+17.5
120.4
Offensive rating
122.7
111.6
Defensive rating
105.2
59.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.5%
3-point %
37.0%
73.4%
Assist %
69.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 122.7Defence111.6 · 105.2Shooting59.9% · 57.9%3-point %42.5% · 37.0%Ball care12.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
San Antonio Spurs wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26AUtah Jazz130-117
30/03/26HGolden State Warriors116-93
28/03/26HUtah Jazz135-129
26/03/26HDallas Mavericks142-135
25/03/26APhoenix Suns125-123
22/03/26HPortland Trail Blazers128-112
21/03/26HToronto Raptors121-115
19/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies118-125
18/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers124-96
15/03/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/26ALos Angeles Clippers118-99
02/04/26AGolden State Warriors127-113
31/03/26HChicago Bulls129-114
28/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks127-95
26/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-98
23/03/26AMiami Heat136-111
22/03/26HIndiana Pacers134-119
20/03/26HPhoenix Suns101-100
18/03/26ASacramento Kings132-104
17/03/26ALos Angeles Clippers119-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773740
Win %64%65%62%
Points / game121.4119.4123.2
Allowed / game116.6114.4118.7
Point differential+4.8+5.0+4.6
Avg total238.0233.8241.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (26)44% (9)53% (17)
Overtime %9%5%12%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753639
Win %76%81%72%
Points / game119.5120.5118.7
Allowed / game111.1111.8110.4
Point differential+8.5+8.7+8.3
Avg total230.6232.3229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%53%51%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)50% (8)62% (13)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder75601580%118.7107.7+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs75571876%119.5111.1+8.5
3 Detroit Pistons77562173%117.5109.6+7.9
4 Boston Celtics77522568%114.6107.1+7.5
5 Los Angeles Lakers76502666%116.5114.8+1.7
6 Denver Nuggets77492864%121.4116.6+4.8
7 New York Knicks76482863%116.7110.4+6.3
8 Houston Rockets77482962%114.8109.9+4.9
9 Cleveland Cavaliers77482962%119.3115.2+4.1
10 Minnesota Timberwolves77463160%117.6114.1+3.5
11 Atlanta Hawks78453358%118.6115.9+2.7
12 Toronto Raptors76433357%114.7112.0+2.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers77433456%116.5116.5+0.0
14 Phoenix Suns76423455%113.1111.0+2.2
15 Charlotte Hornets78423654%116.4111.3+5.1
16 Orlando Magic75403553%115.4115.3+0.1
17 Miami Heat76403653%120.5118.2+2.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers78403851%115.4115.9-0.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers77393851%113.7112.6+1.1
20 Golden State Warriors77364147%114.8115.1-0.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks77304739%110.5116.9-6.4
22 Chicago Bulls77294838%116.2121.6-5.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies77255232%114.8119.6-4.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans78255332%114.9119.4-4.5
25 Dallas Mavericks77245331%113.6119.3-5.7
26 Utah Jazz78215727%117.2125.6-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings78215727%110.9120.9-10.0
28 Indiana Pacers77185923%112.6120.8-8.2
29 Brooklyn Nets77185923%106.1115.8-9.7
30 Washington Wizards76175922%112.7124.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets3629273212136
San Antonio Spurs4329242810134
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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