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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-109
24-23 26-21 27-32 35-33
Position#7
Record55-33
FormLWWWL
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game108.6
vs
Position#5
Record58-31
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game106.7
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· AdventHealth Arena
NBA2019-20Neutral venue
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-115
124
115
+9
121avg 107
H22/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
99-87
99
87
+12
97avg 107
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
115-104
115
104
+11
109avg 107
A31/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
116-114
116
114
+2
106avg 107
A02/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
115-100
115
100
+15
115avg 107
H04/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
115-118 OT
115
118
-3
111avg 107
H06/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
103-94
103
94
+9
104avg 107
A08/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
117-114 OT
117
114
+3
114avg 107
A15/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
106-101
106
101
+5
96avg 107
A17/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 107
H20/09
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-27
40-29
20-34
30-25
21-22
27-20
22-20
29-25
29-40
31-23
32-23
23-18
38-29
28-31
24-26
26-28
29-30
21-27
25-30
40-13
31-22
17-28
40-35
19-22
19-28
33-18
21-19
30-29
18-26
37-29
16-28
35-23
28-31
19-29
37-17
22-24
22-31
28-32
24-26
32-28
218.0Avg total
111.6Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)111.7108.6220.3+3.162%
Season at home (43)114.9107.3222.2+7.677%
Season away (45)108.7109.8218.5-1.249%
Last 10 (10)111.6106.4218.0+5.280%
Last 5 (5)109.4108.8218.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)112.1107.0219.1+5.171%
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.3108.1218.4+2.256%
vs Weaker (5)106.8104.4211.2+2.480%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
112-94
112
94
+18
110avg 104
A30/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
102-99
102
99
+3
95avg 104
A01/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
103-104
103
104
-1
95avg 104
H03/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 104
H05/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
111-89
111
89
+22
110avg 104
A07/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
no box
H09/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A12/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
114-117 OT
114
117
-3
102avg 104
H15/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
101-106
101
106
-5
97avg 104
H17/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
117-106
117
106
+11
116avg 104
A20/09
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-23
20-19
29-31
24-21
28-28
22-20
20-30
32-21
33-28
24-19
23-29
23-28
27-31
22-18
24-32
20-19
25-11
37-24
25-28
24-26
25-21
27-27
25-33
21-17
26-27
24-19
22-25
20-16
26-18
29-37
28-16
23-35
31-28
29-19
17-37
24-22
31-22
32-28
26-24
28-32
209.4Avg total
106.7Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)112.5106.7219.2+5.865%
Season at home (45)114.6107.7222.3+7.064%
Season away (44)110.3105.7216.0+4.666%
Last 10 (10)106.7102.7209.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)109.2108.2217.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)107.5106.3213.8+1.340%
vs Weaker (15)114.1107.7221.7+6.473%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/08
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H24/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A31/08
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A02/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H04/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/09
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A08/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A17/09
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H20/09
NBA
110.2Avg total
55.0Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.354.6109.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.853.6108.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)55.855.8111.6+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)55.055.2110.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.454.8105.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.454.9112.3+2.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.255.2109.4-1.139%-
vs Weaker (5)56.252.2108.4+4.080%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A30/08
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H05/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
62-35
62
35
+27
A07/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H09/09
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A12/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H15/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H17/09
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A20/09
NBA
102.4Avg total
55.7Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.551.1107.6+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.951.4108.2+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)56.150.8106.9+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)55.746.7102.4+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)56.049.2105.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.151.3106.5+3.860%-
vs Weaker (15)57.950.9108.8+7.180%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.5
52.8%
52.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.713.8
35.7%
35.7%41.4
🏀 Free throws27.923.2
83.2%
77.2%23.2
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 105.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.5
55.1%
52.3%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.4
33.1%
35.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.020.1
80.4%
77.2%20.1
They take 80.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWLWWWWW
Boston Celtics
WLLWLWLLWW
#7
League position
#5
+5.2
Net rating
+4.5
111.7
Offensive rating
106.1
106.5
Defensive rating
101.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
33.1%
67.3%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 106.1Defence106.5 · 101.6Shooting53.1% · 52.8%3-point %35.7% · 33.1%Ball care13.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds22.2% · 17.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/20HBoston Celtics106-117
17/09/20ABoston Celtics106-101
15/09/20ABoston Celtics117-114 OT
08/09/20AMilwaukee Bucks103-94
06/09/20HMilwaukee Bucks115-118 OT
04/09/20HMilwaukee Bucks115-100
02/09/20AMilwaukee Bucks116-114
31/08/20AMilwaukee Bucks115-104
24/08/20HIndiana Pacers99-87
22/08/20HIndiana Pacers124-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/20AMiami Heat117-106
17/09/20HMiami Heat101-106
15/09/20HMiami Heat114-117 OT
12/09/20AToronto Raptors92-87
09/09/20HToronto Raptors122-125 OT
07/09/20AToronto Raptors111-89
05/09/20HToronto Raptors93-100
03/09/20HToronto Raptors103-104
01/09/20AToronto Raptors102-99
30/08/20AToronto Raptors112-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayWWWWW49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884345
Win %62%77%49%
Points / game111.7114.9108.7
Allowed / game108.6107.3109.8
Point differential+3.1+7.6-1.2
Avg total220.3222.2218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (26)62% (13)54% (13)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeLLLLL64%
AwayWWWWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894544
Win %65%64%66%
Points / game112.5114.6110.3
Allowed / game106.7107.7105.7
Point differential+5.8+7.0+4.6
Avg total219.2222.3216.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (28)43% (14)43% (14)
Overtime %8%13%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers87642374%113.5107.6+5.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks86632373%117.7108.9+8.8
3 Toronto Raptors86622472%112.0106.2+5.8
4 Los Angeles Clippers88583066%115.5109.5+6.0
5 Boston Celtics89583165%112.5106.7+5.8
6 Miami Heat88553362%111.7108.6+3.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder82503261%109.9108.3+1.6
8 Denver Nuggets93563760%110.2109.0+1.2
9 Utah Jazz82493360%111.1108.7+2.4
10 Indiana Pacers80473359%108.9107.6+1.3
11 Houston Rockets87513659%116.2113.4+2.9
12 Dallas Mavericks84473756%116.8113.1+3.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers80443655%109.8108.3+1.6
14 Phoenix Suns76364047%113.4113.0+0.3
15 Brooklyn Nets79364346%111.0113.0-1.9
16 Memphis Grizzlies77354245%112.5113.6-1.1
17 San Antonio Spurs74334145%113.9115.2-1.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers83374645%114.2116.1-1.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans75334244%115.8116.1-0.3
20 Orlando Magic81354643%107.2108.8-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings75324343%110.1112.1-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
24 Washington Wizards75255033%113.8118.5-4.7
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat24262735112
Boston Celtics23213233109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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