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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Apr 2013
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 98-86
25-23 22-20 21-22 30-21
Position#1
Record67-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game94.9
vs
Position#18
Record38-45
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game100.5
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
H03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
103-98
103
98
+5
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
109-101
109
101
+8
H12/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
96-95
96
95
+1
A15/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H18/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
110-87
110
87
+23
H21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
33-23
18-28
14-24
26-22
22-23
18-8
23-26
33-18
17-28
27-30
29-11
26-21
21-25
24-13
23-24
25-22
21-28
23-22
34-26
17-27
41-23
29-25
22-26
30-22
26-32
30-23
19-16
18-22
31-30
31-19
16-24
29-20
26-27
30-27
20-19
26-24
26-21
28-20
30-22
192.5Avg total
100.7Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)103.094.9197.9+8.081%
Season at home (42)106.595.5201.9+11.090%
Season away (41)99.494.4193.7+5.071%
Last 10 (10)100.791.8192.5+8.990%
Last 5 (5)105.093.8198.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)93.893.0186.8+0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)104.193.0197.2+11.196%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
103-113 OT
103
113
-10
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
111-112
111
112
-1
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
87-110
87
110
-23
A21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
29-21
29-32
17-20
19-19
26-17
21-42
17-23
26-16
35-26
19-13
20-28
21-26
25-21
13-24
24-23
16-30
29-18
21-22
29-25
30-24
24-16
28-35
22-34
23-24
21-25
15-27
26-19
26-32
27-24
24-25
34-31
21-30
24-21
23-19
27-19
24-26
21-26
20-28
22-30
196.2Avg total
94.9Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)98.7100.5199.2-1.846%
Season at home (41)101.3101.2202.4+0.151%
Season away (42)96.399.8196.1-3.640%
Last 10 (10)94.9101.3196.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)96.4103.0199.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)94.1104.8198.9-10.720%
vs Similar (16)102.8102.6205.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (4)108.5104.8213.2+3.850%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H12/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A15/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H18/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H21/04
NBA
100.4Avg total
51.9Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.047.698.6+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.947.099.9+5.981%-
Last 30 away (14)48.848.397.1+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)51.948.5100.4+3.480%-
Last 5 (5)54.049.6103.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.248.895.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)51.747.499.1+4.369%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H07/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A12/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A21/04
NBA
96.6Avg total
49.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.051.0101.0-0.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.452.2104.6+0.221%-
Last 30 away (16)47.949.997.8-1.919%-
Last 10 (10)49.047.696.6+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)48.249.697.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)47.851.599.3-3.710%-
vs Similar (16)51.350.2101.5+1.125%-
vs Weaker (4)50.552.8103.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/13HMilwaukee Bucks110-87
18/04/13HOrlando Magic105-93
15/04/13ACleveland Cavaliers96-95
14/04/13HChicago Bulls105-93
12/04/13HBoston Celtics109-101
10/04/13AWashington Wizards103-98
09/04/13HMilwaukee Bucks94-83
06/04/13HPhiladelphia 76ers106-87
06/04/13ACharlotte Hornets89-79
03/04/13HNew York Knicks90-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/13AMiami Heat87-110
18/04/13AOklahoma City Thunder95-89
16/04/13HDenver Nuggets111-112
13/04/13ACharlotte Hornets85-95
12/04/13AAtlanta Hawks104-109
10/04/13AOrlando Magic103-113 OT
09/04/13AMiami Heat83-94
07/04/13HToronto Raptors100-83
05/04/13ANew York Knicks83-101
04/04/13HMinnesota Timberwolves98-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %81%90%71%
Points / game103.0106.599.4
Allowed / game94.995.594.4
Point differential+8.0+11.0+5.0
Avg total197.9201.9193.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (20)86% (7)69% (13)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLWLWL51%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %46%51%40%
Points / game98.7101.396.3
Allowed / game100.5101.299.8
Point differential-1.8+0.1-3.6
Avg total199.2202.4196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)50% (12)58% (12)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat83671681%103.094.9+8.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder83612273%105.996.4+9.4
3 San Antonio Spurs83592471%102.996.4+6.5
4 Denver Nuggets83582570%106.0101.0+5.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers84582669%101.194.5+6.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies84562867%93.389.6+3.8
7 New York Knicks83552866%99.895.5+4.3
8 Indiana Pacers82503261%94.990.7+4.2
9 Brooklyn Nets84503460%96.895.0+1.8
10 Golden State Warriors83473657%101.1100.2+0.9
11 Chicago Bulls84463855%93.192.9+0.2
12 Houston Rockets83453854%105.8102.7+3.1
13 Los Angeles Lakers83453854%101.9100.9+1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks83443953%97.997.7+0.2
15 Utah Jazz82433952%98.098.1-0.1
16 Boston Celtics82414150%96.396.6-0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks82414150%101.1101.7-0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks83384546%98.7100.5-1.8
19 Toronto Raptors82344841%97.298.7-1.5
20 Philadelphia 76ers82344841%93.296.5-3.3
21 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%97.5100.7-3.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves82315138%95.798.1-2.4
23 Washington Wizards82295335%93.295.8-2.5
24 Detroit Pistons82295335%94.998.8-4.0
25 Sacramento Kings82285434%100.2105.1-4.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans82275533%94.197.9-3.9
27 Phoenix Suns82255730%95.2101.6-6.5
28 Cleveland Cavaliers82245829%96.5101.2-4.7
29 Charlotte Hornets82216126%93.4102.7-9.2
30 Orlando Magic82206224%94.1101.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2522213098
Milwaukee Bucks2320222186
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