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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-91
21-18 20-28 22-19 19-26
Position#4
Record12-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#19
Record5-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game96.1
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
118-83
118
83
+35
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
104-117
104
117
-13
A14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
120-98
120
98
+22
H18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
113-92
113
92
+21
H22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
27-28
21-20
21-33
29-27
33-12
26-27
30-17
22-19
32-30
14-21
25-23
31-18
26-17
21-29
23-26
22-27
35-26
27-19
12-24
24-21
24-22
21-27
17-16
21-30
32-25
28-31
23-31
26-35
23-28
39-12
32-23
25-20
27-17
25-19
21-31
29-28
27-21
25-20
32-23
203.9Avg total
105.7Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)107.297.5204.8+9.771%
Season at home (8)112.992.8205.6+20.188%
Season away (9)102.2101.8204.0+0.456%
Last 10 (10)105.798.2203.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)104.897.8202.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)97.893.7191.5+4.263%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)105.596.3201.7+9.273%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A09/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
106-103
106
103
+3
H11/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H13/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
76-102
76
102
-26
A14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H18/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-21
21-19
18-23
30-25
28-12
24-31
18-35
15-18
25-20
25-34
21-20
25-30
22-27
19-34
27-18
25-33
34-26
20-22
27-22
31-27
21-16
27-25
23-25
26-32
19-28
18-23
13-19
25-31
18-16
19-29
20-18
21-26
23-37
23-22
28-20
27-23
28-28
24-16
21-19
188.5Avg total
91.3Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.196.1188.2-3.931%
Season at home (6)97.893.7191.5+4.267%
Season away (10)88.797.5186.2-8.810%
Last 10 (10)91.397.2188.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)93.093.4186.4-0.460%
vs Similar (17)90.595.6186.1-5.129%
vs Weaker (8)99.294.4193.6+4.962%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H18/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H22/01
NBA
100.8Avg total
53.8Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.847.599.3+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.546.899.3+5.757%-
Last 30 away (16)51.148.199.2+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)53.847.0100.8+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)51.649.4101.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)49.448.698.0+0.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)55.945.5101.5+10.482%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#16
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#26
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A09/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H11/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H13/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H18/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#13
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A21/01
NBA
97.5Avg total
47.7Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.847.796.5+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.847.999.7+3.867%-
Last 30 away (18)46.947.594.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.749.897.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.852.8100.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.245.691.8+0.660%-
vs Similar (17)46.649.696.2-2.941%-
vs Weaker (8)55.144.9100.0+10.288%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/12HPhiladelphia 76ers113-92
20/01/12HLos Angeles Lakers98-87
18/01/12HSan Antonio Spurs120-98
14/01/12ADenver Nuggets104-117
12/01/12ALos Angeles Clippers89-95 OT
11/01/12AGolden State Warriors106-111 OT
08/01/12ABrooklyn Nets101-90
06/01/12AAtlanta Hawks116-109 OT
05/01/12HIndiana Pacers118-83
03/01/12HAtlanta Hawks92-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/12ANew York Knicks100-86
18/01/12HDenver Nuggets95-105
16/01/12APhiladelphia 76ers82-94
14/01/12ADallas Mavericks76-102
13/01/12HDetroit Pistons102-93
11/01/12HSan Antonio Spurs106-103
09/01/12APhoenix Suns93-109
08/01/12ALos Angeles Clippers86-92
06/01/12ASacramento Kings100-103
04/01/12AUtah Jazz73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game107.2112.9102.2
Allowed / game97.592.8101.8
Point differential+9.7+20.1+0.4
Avg total204.8205.6204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%75%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %18%0%33%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %31%67%10%
Points / game92.197.888.7
Allowed / game96.193.797.5
Point differential-3.9+4.2-8.8
Avg total188.2191.5186.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls2017385%95.985.3+10.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder1815383%98.993.6+5.3
3 Denver Nuggets1914574%106.899.7+7.1
4 Philadelphia 76ers1813572%100.088.1+11.9
5 Miami Heat1712571%107.297.5+9.7
6 Orlando Magic1712571%96.693.6+3.1
7 Los Angeles Clippers1611569%99.196.5+2.6
8 Atlanta Hawks1913668%96.689.5+7.1
9 Utah Jazz1711665%95.694.5+1.1
10 Indiana Pacers1610662%91.989.9+2.1
11 San Antonio Spurs1911858%98.296.3+1.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers1810856%97.093.6+3.4
13 Houston Rockets1810856%97.496.8+0.6
14 Memphis Grizzlies179853%94.892.9+1.9
15 Dallas Mavericks1910953%91.489.2+2.2
16 Los Angeles Lakers1910953%92.892.3+0.6
17 Minnesota Timberwolves189950%95.893.4+2.4
18 Boston Celtics178947%88.388.5-0.2
19 New York Knicks1881044%93.895.1-1.3
20 Cleveland Cavaliers1771041%94.297.8-3.5
21 Sacramento Kings1971237%90.9101.3-10.4
22 Golden State Warriors1761135%96.098.9-2.9
23 Phoenix Suns1761135%93.497.5-4.1
24 Milwaukee Bucks1651131%92.196.1-3.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans1851328%87.590.5-3.0
26 Detroit Pistons1951426%85.694.2-8.5
27 Brooklyn Nets1841422%90.398.6-8.2
28 Charlotte Hornets1841422%89.499.4-10.1
29 Toronto Raptors1941521%84.291.4-7.2
30 Washington Wizards1821611%88.799.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2120221982
Milwaukee Bucks1828192691
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