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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2014
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-91
23-19 23-19 13-26 25-27
Position#21
Record5-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game97.8
vs
Position#15
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game93.6
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
A16/06
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
107-95
107
95
+12
H29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
114-96
114
96
+18
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
91-108
91
108
-17
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A06/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
105-96
105
96
+9
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
103-114
103
114
-11
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
11-25
18-30
29-27
22-28
31-24
19-18
35-25
32-30
28-24
27-29
27-13
31-26
33-28
23-23
20-25
31-30
24-27
22-26
14-25
17-24
27-22
18-26
27-24
29-13
24-28
27-28
22-23
29-20
26-24
28-23
22-29
26-24
16-17
16-22
17-18
23-35
29-27
27-24
24-28
196.4Avg total
98.0Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)99.297.8197.0+1.456%
Season at home (5)96.495.6192.0+0.860%
Season away (4)102.8100.5203.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)98.098.4196.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)94.895.8190.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)101.5105.0206.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.396.6190.9-2.343%
vs Weaker (12)99.993.2193.1+6.883%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H06/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H09/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
24-29
20-24
20-29
24-25
33-21
26-22
17-32
24-24
22-23
27-27
20-7
17-29
27-20
24-34
29-25
22-19
21-19
26-23
18-20
21-23
32-26
17-23
16-23
21-27
23-24
28-25
23-22
21-23
23-28
22-21
27-20
15-22
26-16
28-26
16-14
30-25
19-27
19-28
17-21
188.3Avg total
93.0Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.993.6185.4-1.744%
Season at home (4)89.286.5175.8+2.875%
Season away (5)94.099.2193.2-5.220%
Last 10 (10)93.095.3188.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)88.892.8181.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)98.9108.3207.2-9.45%
vs Similar ◀ (9)95.895.9191.7-0.156%
vs Weaker (2)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A16/06
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H02/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#2
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A15/11
NBA
101.6Avg total
51.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.248.397.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.448.397.7+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)49.048.297.2+0.843%-
Last 10 (10)51.849.8101.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.246.896.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.554.2110.8+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.146.791.9-1.643%-
vs Weaker (12)51.548.199.6+3.458%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H06/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A08/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H09/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A15/11
NBA
96.3Avg total
48.4Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.952.9101.7-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.852.5102.3-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)48.253.1101.3-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.996.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.248.294.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)49.755.8105.6-6.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.347.394.7+0.056%-
vs Weaker (2)47.549.597.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Miami Heat wins
1
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/14AAtlanta Hawks103-114
13/11/14HIndiana Pacers75-81
10/11/14ADallas Mavericks105-96
09/11/14HMinnesota Timberwolves102-92
06/11/14ACharlotte Hornets89-96
05/11/14HHouston Rockets91-108
02/11/14HToronto Raptors107-102
01/11/14APhiladelphia 76ers114-96
29/10/14HWashington Wizards107-95
16/06/14ASan Antonio Spurs87-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/14AOrlando Magic85-101
12/11/14HOklahoma City Thunder85-78
09/11/14HMemphis Grizzlies93-92
08/11/14ADetroit Pistons95-98
06/11/14HChicago Bulls86-95
05/11/14AIndiana Pacers87-81
01/11/14AWashington Wizards97-108
01/11/14HPhiladelphia 76ers93-81
29/10/14ACharlotte Hornets106-108 OT
17/04/14HAtlanta Hawks103-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL56%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game99.296.4102.8
Allowed / game97.895.6100.5
Point differential+1.4+0.8+2.2
Avg total197.0192.0203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game91.989.294.0
Allowed / game93.686.599.2
Point differential-1.7+2.8-5.2
Avg total185.4175.8193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%96.491.3+5.1
2 Houston Rockets98189%101.691.6+10.0
3 Toronto Raptors108280%106.096.4+9.6
4 Golden State Warriors97278%105.696.4+9.1
5 Washington Wizards97278%98.796.4+2.2
6 Dallas Mavericks107370%109.5100.0+9.5
7 Portland Trail Blazers107370%104.696.2+8.4
8 Chicago Bulls107370%102.297.9+4.3
9 New Orleans Pelicans85362%105.698.4+7.2
10 Cleveland Cavaliers85362%107.9104.1+3.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers85362%103.1102.4+0.8
12 Sacramento Kings106460%102.8101.6+1.2
13 Miami Heat95456%99.297.8+1.4
14 San Antonio Spurs95456%94.493.7+0.8
15 Atlanta Hawks95456%101.9102.8-0.9
16 Phoenix Suns105550%104.0105.0-1.0
17 Brooklyn Nets94544%102.0100.6+1.4
18 Milwaukee Bucks94544%91.993.6-1.7
19 Charlotte Hornets104640%96.199.7-3.6
20 Boston Celtics83538%106.6108.4-1.8
21 Indiana Pacers114736%91.993.6-1.7
22 Orlando Magic114736%96.199.1-3.0
23 Utah Jazz114736%97.5102.8-5.3
24 Detroit Pistons103730%93.096.8-3.8
25 Oklahoma City Thunder103730%92.096.5-4.5
26 New York Knicks113827%93.998.1-4.2
27 Denver Nuggets92722%101.0108.2-7.2
28 Minnesota Timberwolves92722%100.6110.0-9.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers91811%100.1109.4-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers9090%90.0106.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2323132584
Milwaukee Bucks1919262791
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