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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2013
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 94-83
26-21 21-25 24-13 23-24
Position#1
Record60-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#18
Record37-39
FormLWLLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game100.2
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
103-89
103
89
+14
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
97-101
97
101
-4
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A30/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
H03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
10-23
34-22
30-18
22-28
29-26
22-14
30-21
23-19
24-20
26-18
36-20
28-28
27-18
23-22
30-26
22-32
24-23
22-14
29-32
32-22
28-21
21-17
27-29
22-24
18-21
31-19
17-22
25-27
33-23
18-28
14-24
26-22
22-23
18-8
23-26
33-18
17-28
27-30
29-11
189.5Avg total
99.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)102.995.1198.1+7.879%
Season at home (37)106.796.0202.7+10.789%
Season away (39)99.494.3193.6+5.169%
Last 10 (10)99.689.9189.5+9.780%
Last 5 (5)96.288.6184.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)99.393.5192.8+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)104.792.4197.0+12.396%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A22/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
W
113-103
113
103
+10
H29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
99-109
99
109
-10
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
131-102
131
102
+29
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
98-107
98
107
-9
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
100-83
100
83
+17
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-30
16-29
31-21
23-23
20-22
11-28
24-29
24-24
25-26
25-24
25-30
20-27
28-27
30-22
14-24
18-25
35-31
29-21
31-26
28-32
18-24
37-27
16-26
29-25
40-35
31-24
31-18
23-34
29-21
29-32
17-20
19-19
26-17
21-42
17-23
26-16
35-26
19-13
20-28
199.2Avg total
98.3Scored
100.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)99.0100.2199.3-1.249%
Season at home (40)101.0100.9201.9+0.152%
Season away (36)96.899.5196.4-2.744%
Last 10 (10)98.3100.9199.2-2.630%
Last 5 (5)102.2100.4202.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)95.6107.9203.4-12.314%
vs Similar (21)100.8102.0202.7-1.243%
vs Weaker (2)123.0105.5228.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H22/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A30/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/04
NBA
96.7Avg total
48.9Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.647.499.0+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.648.0101.6+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)49.846.996.8+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)48.947.896.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)51.245.897.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)51.748.5100.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)51.647.298.8+4.462%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A20/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#14
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H29/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H02/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H07/04
NBA
101.1Avg total
50.9Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.051.8102.7-0.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.851.7103.5+0.124%-
Last 30 away (13)49.851.8101.7-2.023%-
Last 10 (10)50.950.2101.1+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)54.649.8104.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)50.751.4102.1-0.729%-
vs Similar (21)50.551.4101.9-0.919%-
vs Weaker (2)56.557.0113.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/13HPhiladelphia 76ers106-87
06/04/13ACharlotte Hornets89-79
03/04/13HNew York Knicks90-102
31/03/13ASan Antonio Spurs88-86
30/03/13ANew Orleans Pelicans108-89
28/03/13AChicago Bulls97-101
25/03/13AOrlando Magic108-94
24/03/13HCharlotte Hornets109-77
22/03/13HDetroit Pistons103-89
20/03/13ACleveland Cavaliers98-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/13HToronto Raptors100-83
05/04/13ANew York Knicks83-101
04/04/13HMinnesota Timberwolves98-107
02/04/13HCharlotte Hornets131-102
31/03/13HOklahoma City Thunder99-109
29/03/13HLos Angeles Lakers113-103
27/03/13APhiladelphia 76ers92-100
24/03/13HAtlanta Hawks99-104
22/03/13AIndiana Pacers78-102
20/03/13AAtlanta Hawks90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %79%89%69%
Points / game102.9106.799.4
Allowed / game95.196.094.3
Point differential+7.8+10.7+5.1
Avg total198.1202.7193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%54%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)86% (7)64% (11)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW49%
HomeWLWLW52%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games764036
Win %49%52%44%
Points / game99.0101.096.8
Allowed / game100.2100.999.5
Point differential-1.2+0.1-2.7
Avg total199.3201.9196.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)55% (11)64% (11)
Overtime %7%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat76601679%102.995.1+7.8
2 San Antonio Spurs77572074%103.596.2+7.2
3 Oklahoma City Thunder77562173%106.096.8+9.2
4 Denver Nuggets77532469%105.9101.0+4.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies77522568%93.689.7+3.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers77512666%101.194.8+6.3
7 New York Knicks76502666%99.895.6+4.2
8 Indiana Pacers78492963%94.790.2+4.5
9 Brooklyn Nets76443258%96.495.0+1.4
10 Golden State Warriors77443357%100.8100.1+0.7
11 Houston Rockets77433456%106.2102.7+3.6
12 Chicago Bulls76423455%92.792.4+0.3
13 Atlanta Hawks78423654%97.697.2+0.4
14 Utah Jazz78413753%98.598.6-0.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers77403752%102.0101.1+0.9
16 Boston Celtics77403752%96.396.4-0.1
17 Dallas Mavericks77383949%101.2102.0-0.8
18 Milwaukee Bucks76373949%99.0100.2-1.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers77334443%97.7100.3-2.6
20 Philadelphia 76ers76314541%92.996.3-3.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves76294738%95.797.9-2.2
22 Washington Wizards77294838%93.195.2-2.1
23 Toronto Raptors77294838%96.899.1-2.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans77275035%94.097.5-3.4
25 Sacramento Kings77275035%99.9104.7-4.8
26 Detroit Pistons78265233%94.298.8-4.6
27 Cleveland Cavaliers77245331%96.7101.2-4.5
28 Phoenix Suns77235430%94.7101.4-6.7
29 Orlando Magic78195924%94.1100.8-6.7
30 Charlotte Hornets77185923%93.3103.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2621242394
Milwaukee Bucks2125132483
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