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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2009
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 124-110
34-27 35-28 25-25 30-30
Position#5
Record67-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#10
Record58-40
FormWLLLW
Points / game101.6
Allowed / game99.8
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
21 Oct 2016
DEN101
DAL75
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
113-84
113
84
+29
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
108-93
108
93
+15
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
121-63
121
63
+58
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
107-86
107
86
+21
H30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
117-105
117
105
+12
H06/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A09/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
117-119
117
119
-2
A12/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-30
26-18
16-33
27-25
28-22
32-22
26-15
27-25
25-19
29-27
27-22
26-21
21-29
25-27
21-18
36-15
25-24
27-11
33-13
24-27
25-22
31-17
27-20
16-24
35-23
31-28
27-20
30-22
28-33
28-28
31-22
20-20
28-25
31-35
27-25
34-23
29-30
27-32
27-34
201.6Avg total
106.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (98)104.899.9204.8+4.968%
Season at home (49)108.399.9208.2+8.484%
Season away (49)101.4100.0201.3+1.453%
Last 10 (10)106.794.9201.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)111.2102.0213.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.297.8203.0+7.461%
vs Weaker (12)115.2103.2218.4+12.192%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
105-97
105
97
+8
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
84-105
84
105
-21
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A03/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
105-117
105
117
-12
A06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
105-106
105
106
-1
H09/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
W
119-117
119
117
+2
H12/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
16-31
23-20
30-14
18-29
27-20
29-25
31-23
19-30
27-27
17-28
21-20
27-16
19-14
29-12
13-25
32-29
19-26
29-16
19-19
31-20
21-28
30-19
24-26
24-16
23-35
28-31
20-27
22-30
33-28
28-28
22-31
20-20
25-28
35-31
25-27
23-34
30-29
32-27
34-27
198.6Avg total
100.1Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (98)101.699.8201.4+1.859%
Season at home (48)105.9100.0206.0+5.975%
Season away (50)97.599.6197.0-2.144%
Last 10 (10)100.198.5198.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)106.0108.4214.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.0104.5191.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)102.299.7201.9+2.564%
vs Weaker (6)110.5102.8213.3+7.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A16/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H20/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H23/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A25/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A28/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#9
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H30/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H03/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H06/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A09/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A12/05
NBA
100.0Avg total
51.8Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.949.4103.2+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.048.7103.7+6.382%-
Last 30 away (13)52.450.2102.6+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)51.848.2100.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.849.8103.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.748.299.9+3.667%-
vs Weaker (12)57.151.2108.2+5.975%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A21/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A03/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H09/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H12/05
NBA
99.1Avg total
48.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)52.151.2103.3+0.938%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.449.1101.6+3.343%-
Last 30 away (15)51.853.1104.9-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)48.250.999.1-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)50.453.6104.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.556.5108.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.350.2101.5+1.138%-
vs Weaker (6)55.053.0108.0+2.033%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/09ADallas Mavericks117-119
09/05/09ADallas Mavericks106-105
06/05/09HDallas Mavericks117-105
03/05/09HDallas Mavericks109-95
30/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans107-86
28/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans121-63
25/04/09ANew Orleans Pelicans93-95
23/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans108-93
20/04/09HNew Orleans Pelicans113-84
16/04/09APortland Trail Blazers76-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/09HDenver Nuggets119-117
09/05/09HDenver Nuggets105-106
06/05/09ADenver Nuggets105-117
03/05/09ADenver Nuggets95-109
29/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs106-93
25/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs99-90
24/04/09HSan Antonio Spurs88-67
21/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs84-105
19/04/09ASan Antonio Spurs105-97
16/04/09HHouston Rockets95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayLLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games984949
Win %68%84%53%
Points / game104.8108.3101.4
Allowed / game99.999.9100.0
Point differential+4.9+8.4+1.4
Avg total204.8208.2201.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)70% (10)47% (15)
Overtime %3%4%2%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games984850
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game101.6105.997.5
Allowed / game99.8100.099.6
Point differential+1.8+5.9-2.1
Avg total201.4206.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (27)79% (19)50% (8)
Overtime %4%6%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers96771980%99.290.2+9.0
2 Los Angeles Lakers96752178%106.198.6+7.4
3 Boston Celtics100742674%101.394.6+6.7
4 Orlando Magic97692871%100.694.0+6.5
5 Denver Nuggets98673168%104.899.9+4.9
6 Houston Rockets98633564%97.794.2+3.5
7 Portland Trail Blazers94593563%98.393.9+4.4
8 San Antonio Spurs93573661%96.393.2+3.1
9 New Orleans Pelicans92553760%95.394.5+0.8
10 Dallas Mavericks98584059%101.699.8+1.8
11 Phoenix Suns89503956%108.2106.2+2.0
12 Utah Jazz93524156%102.9100.9+2.1
13 Atlanta Hawks100554555%96.396.0+0.3
14 Miami Heat95484751%97.297.1+0.2
15 Chicago Bulls96484850%102.4102.9-0.5
16 Philadelphia 76ers93454848%96.897.2-0.4
17 Detroit Pistons91434847%93.394.0-0.6
18 Indiana Pacers89404945%104.9105.4-0.6
19 Brooklyn Nets89375242%98.1100.8-2.7
20 New York Knicks87355240%105.2107.6-2.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks88355340%98.9100.6-1.7
22 Toronto Raptors86345240%98.5101.4-2.9
23 Charlotte Hornets89355439%93.395.0-1.7
24 Golden State Warriors85315436%108.4111.9-3.5
25 Minnesota Timberwolves88286032%97.4102.0-4.6
26 Memphis Grizzlies89266329%93.699.2-5.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder83236028%96.8102.9-6.1
28 Washington Wizards88216724%95.1102.8-7.7
29 Los Angeles Clippers88216724%94.9103.2-8.4
30 Sacramento Kings88177119%100.5109.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34352530124
Dallas Mavericks27282530110
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