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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2011
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 121-120
33-19 26-39 29-34 33-28
Position#9
Record30-23
FormWLWLL
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#3
Record37-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game94.7
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
120-109
120
109
+11
A26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
109-100
109
100
+9
A27/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
117-103
117
103
+14
A29/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
A30/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
99-115
99
115
-16
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
109-90
109
90
+19
H03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
106-113
106
113
-7
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
A06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H08/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
114-116
114
116
-2
A10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
35-30
28-23
24-30
29-24
27-26
24-24
29-26
31-24
39-26
23-33
24-20
34-32
17-22
21-28
27-28
21-31
29-32
28-22
21-30
22-23
23-23
32-24
32-20
24-23
23-27
30-32
29-31
25-23
34-23
28-38
26-16
26-25
24-27
16-29
37-27
35-34
33-36
24-30
22-16
215.3Avg total
108.9Scored
106.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)107.7104.7212.4+3.057%
Season at home (28)110.3102.6212.9+7.775%
Season away (25)104.8107.1211.8-2.336%
Last 10 (10)108.9106.4215.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)109.0105.4214.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)104.2102.5206.7+1.740%
vs Weaker (15)112.7106.7219.4+6.167%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H26/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
111-106
111
106
+5
H28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
102-92
102
92
+10
H01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
113-97
113
97
+16
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
101-92
101
92
+9
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H08/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
102-100
102
100
+2
A10/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
26-19
20-23
19-18
25-33
29-29
27-16
31-27
33-15
31-32
24-34
23-25
28-24
24-25
25-29
25-13
21-25
29-24
24-19
28-24
27-34
29-18
30-21
27-24
34-27
20-24
23-26
24-20
31-22
24-23
27-21
19-26
29-28
30-21
18-24
22-23
20-28
36-19
18-26
28-27
199.2Avg total
103.0Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)97.894.7192.4+3.171%
Season at home (28)98.494.4192.8+4.071%
Season away (24)97.095.0192.0+2.171%
Last 10 (10)103.096.2199.2+6.8100%
Last 5 (5)103.296.4199.6+6.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)96.196.9193.0-0.957%
vs Weaker (16)98.295.8194.0+2.469%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A27/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A29/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A30/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H03/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H08/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A10/02
NBA
110.1Avg total
56.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.652.7108.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.049.5104.5+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)56.356.9113.2-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)56.453.7110.1+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)53.852.8106.6+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.151.5103.7+0.647%-
vs Weaker (15)59.053.9112.9+5.160%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H26/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H30/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H01/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A03/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A05/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H08/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A10/02
NBA
104.4Avg total
54.8Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.248.198.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.247.9100.1+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)48.348.396.5+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)54.849.6104.4+5.290%-
Last 5 (5)56.048.8104.8+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)48.848.697.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)51.547.799.2+3.869%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/11AGolden State Warriors114-116
08/02/11HHouston Rockets103-108
06/02/11AMinnesota Timberwolves113-100
05/02/11HUtah Jazz106-113
03/02/11HPortland Trail Blazers109-90
01/02/11ABrooklyn Nets99-115
30/01/11APhiladelphia 76ers99-110
29/01/11ACleveland Cavaliers117-103
27/01/11ADetroit Pistons109-100
26/01/11AWashington Wizards120-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/11ASacramento Kings102-100
08/02/11HCleveland Cavaliers99-96
06/02/11ACharlotte Hornets101-92
05/02/11ABoston Celtics101-97
03/02/11ANew York Knicks113-97
01/02/11HWashington Wizards102-92
30/01/11HAtlanta Hawks102-91
28/01/11HHouston Rockets111-106
26/01/11HLos Angeles Clippers112-105
23/01/11ABrooklyn Nets87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLWWLL75%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532825
Win %57%75%36%
Points / game107.7110.3104.8
Allowed / game104.7102.6107.1
Point differential+3.0+7.7-2.3
Avg total212.4212.9211.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)73% (11)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522824
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game97.898.497.0
Allowed / game94.794.495.0
Point differential+3.1+4.0+2.1
Avg total192.4192.8192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)67% (12)78% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs5244885%103.996.7+7.2
2 Miami Heat52381473%102.094.1+7.9
3 Boston Celtics52381473%98.291.5+6.7
4 Dallas Mavericks52371571%97.894.7+3.1
5 Los Angeles Lakers53371670%102.996.2+6.7
6 Chicago Bulls51351669%98.192.3+5.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder51331865%104.6102.7+1.9
8 Atlanta Hawks52331963%97.295.8+1.4
9 Orlando Magic54342063%100.194.5+5.5
10 New Orleans Pelicans54322259%94.992.5+2.4
11 Utah Jazz54312357%99.699.6+0.0
12 Denver Nuggets53302357%107.7104.7+3.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers52282454%95.895.6+0.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies54282652%99.498.1+1.3
15 New York Knicks51262551%106.5106.2+0.4
16 Phoenix Suns50252550%105.3105.7-0.5
17 Houston Rockets54252946%104.9104.8+0.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers52242846%98.297.3+0.9
19 Golden State Warriors52232944%102.9106.1-3.2
20 Indiana Pacers50222844%98.999.3-0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets52223042%93.796.8-3.1
22 Milwaukee Bucks51203139%91.292.9-1.7
23 Los Angeles Clippers52203238%98.9101.5-2.6
24 Detroit Pistons53203338%94.798.5-3.8
25 Brooklyn Nets53163730%92.798.7-6.0
26 Washington Wizards51143727%96.7102.9-6.1
27 Toronto Raptors53143926%98.8104.8-6.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves52133925%102.9108.2-5.3
29 Sacramento Kings49123724%97.3102.1-4.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers5384515%94.2105.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33262933121
Dallas Mavericks19393428120
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