Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	110.6	115.4	226.0	-4.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	102.4	116.2	218.6	-13.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	100.8	114.0	214.8	-13.2	22%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	111.4	107.9	219.3	+3.4	75%
vs Weaker (5)	116.8	106.0	222.8	+10.8	80%

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boston Celtics USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCeltics

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

121-129

121

129

-8

113avg 103

H11/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#26

94-102

102

-8

69avg 103

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#25

124-108

124

108

+16

115avg 103

A15/05

NBA

New York Knicks

#11

92-96

-4

80avg 103

A16/05

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

118-100

118

100

+18

no box

H19/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

93-104

104

-11

78avg 103

A23/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

108-130

108

130

-22

95avg 103

A25/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

125-119

125

119

117avg 103

H29/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

126-141

126

141

-15

114avg 103

H30/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

109-123

109

123

-14

93avg 103

A01/06

NBA

28-28

28-34

23-31

42-36

17-22

22-20

30-25

25-35

37-26

29-21

23-27

35-34

24-23

15-31

26-23

27-19

27-21

25-33

38-26

28-20

21-16

32-31

20-31

20-26

26-40

21-31

35-38

26-21

33-32

28-25

35-27

29-35

34-33

26-40

31-39

35-29

24-31

27-28

28-27

30-37

226.2Avg total

111.0Scored

115.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	111.0	115.2	226.2	-4.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	112.2	123.4	235.6	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	107.5	114.8	222.2	-7.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	113.4	112.3	225.7	+1.1	56%
vs Weaker (6)	121.3	110.5	231.8	+10.8	67%

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Miami HeatBoston Celtics

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.4	27.3	56.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.1	26.0	56.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.8	28.4	57.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.4	27.8	55.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.8	49.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	27.4	29.4	56.9	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	29.7	25.3	55.0	+4.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.0	29.8	61.8	+2.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	28.0	54.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	27.3	28.4	55.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.2	27.5	53.7	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	27.2	54.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	30.4	58.0	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	26.6	27.4	54.0	-0.8	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	26.1	28.3	54.4	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	29.2	28.0	57.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	27.9	55.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.8	27.8	54.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	27.6	28.0	55.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.7	28.0	58.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	31.0	61.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	25.3	28.8	54.1	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	27.5	27.7	55.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	29.6	27.0	56.6	+2.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.5	28.2	54.6	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	27.4	29.1	56.5	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.3	26.9	52.2	-1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	29.4	54.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	31.0	57.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	26.1	30.5	56.6	-4.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	27.1	29.4	56.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.3	67%	-

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minnesota Timberwolves

#25

59-54

H08/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

#16

79-53

+26

A09/05

NBA

Boston Celtics

#16

62-56

A11/05

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers

60-41

+19

H13/05

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

51-70

-19

A16/05

NBA

Detroit Pistons

#29

69-47

+22

A17/05

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

50-53

-3

A22/05

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

51-78

-27

A24/05

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

36-49

-13

H27/05

NBA

Milwaukee Bucks

64-57

H29/05

NBA

113.9Avg total

58.1Scored

55.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	56.6	55.2	111.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	56.9	53.8	110.7	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	56.3	56.4	112.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.1	55.8	113.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.0	56.8	110.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	52.8	58.2	111.0	-5.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	57.2	53.0	110.2	+4.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	61.6	56.8	118.4	+4.8	60%	-

This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Miami Heat

#15

56-62

-6

H11/05

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers

#26

39-42

-3

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#25

66-47

+19

A15/05

NBA

New York Knicks

#11

39-54

-15

A16/05

NBA

Washington Wizards

#18

52-54

-2

H19/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

53-47

A23/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

47-71

-24

A25/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

61-57

H29/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

60-73

-13

H30/05

NBA

Brooklyn Nets

51-59

-8

A01/06

NBA

109.0Avg total

52.4Scored

56.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.3	56.2	109.5	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	54.6	57.5	112.2	-2.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	51.5	54.4	105.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.4	56.6	109.0	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.4	61.4	115.8	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	52.8	57.9	110.6	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	53.2	57.7	110.9	-4.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	54.3	49.8	104.2	+4.5	50%	-

This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.7	26.2	53.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.0	26.3	52.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	29.2	26.2	55.4	+3.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.2	28.4	55.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	30.2	55.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	25.9	29.9	55.8	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	28.2	25.2	53.4	+3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	29.2	23.0	52.2	+6.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.6	29.0	58.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	29.9	28.4	58.4	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	29.2	29.7	58.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	29.4	58.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.8	32.4	62.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	27.4	30.5	57.9	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	30.3	28.9	59.2	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	30.7	27.0	57.7	+3.7	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	27.7	52.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.1	28.8	54.9	-2.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	26.7	49.9	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	30.2	54.7	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	27.2	48.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	24.8	46.0	-3.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	25.9	29.8	55.7	-3.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	26.2	52.2	-0.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.3	26.7	56.0	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	31.0	27.3	58.3	+3.7	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	27.1	25.8	52.9	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.7	29.2	58.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	29.6	57.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	27.4	26.4	53.8	+1.0	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	28.9	24.9	53.9	+4.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (6)	32.8	31.7	64.5	+1.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.2	53.9	106.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	52.1	55.1	107.1	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.4	52.9	105.2	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.7	58.6	110.3	-6.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	57.4	104.2	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	47.1	54.7	101.8	-7.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	54.2	54.9	109.1	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	55.2	49.2	104.4	+6.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.9	55.6	114.5	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	60.9	55.7	116.6	+5.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	56.2	55.5	111.8	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.6	58.6	117.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.8	62.0	119.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	54.8	56.9	111.6	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	59.2	53.9	113.1	+5.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	63.5	58.7	122.2	+4.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.0	26.7	52.4%	53.1%	53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	14.1	39.4%	35.3%	42.3
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.9	78.0%	77.4%	14.9

They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game

51%

34%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.8	25.5	49.2%	53.1%	51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.0	13.8	35.4%	35.3%	41.4
🏀 Free throws	23.3	18.6	79.8%	77.4%	18.6

They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.5	30.5	59.2%	53.1%	61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.9	12.6	34.1%	35.3%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	22.7	16.6	73.1%	77.4%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.2	28.9	53.3%	53.1%	57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.7	38.0%	35.3%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	25.9	22.1	85.3%	77.4%	22.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.6	26.5	54.6%	53.1%	53.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.5	13.3	37.3%	35.3%	39.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	16.2	78.2%	77.4%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.7	26.1	52.5%	53.1%	52.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	39.4	14.6	37.0%	35.3%	43.8
🏀 Free throws	21.6	17.5	81.0%	77.4%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	26.8	57.5%	53.1%	53.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.9	13.3	36.0%	35.3%	39.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.9	76.6%	77.4%	15.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.2	27.5	51.8%	53.1%	55.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.2	12.6	37.9%	35.3%	37.8
🏀 Free throws	24.1	19.7	81.7%	77.4%	19.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Miami Heat

LLLLWLWWWW

Boston Celtics

LLWLLWLWLL

League position

-4.7

Net rating

-4.0

109.2

Offensive rating

111.4

113.9

Defensive rating

115.4

55.1%

Effective FG%

50.9%

55.9%

Opp. effective FG%

54.6%

13.4%

Turnover %

11.3%

18.9%

Off. rebound %

24.5%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.26

39.4%

3-point %

35.4%

61.5%

Assist %

55.0%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Miami Heat ■ Boston Celtics

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Miami Heat wins

Boston Celtics wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/21	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	121-129
09/05/21	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	124-130
07/01/21	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	105-107
27/09/20	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	125-113
26/09/20	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	121-108
24/09/20	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	112-109
20/09/20	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	106-117
17/09/20	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	101-106
15/09/20	Boston Celtics v Miami Heat	114-117 OT
04/08/20	Miami Heat v Boston Celtics	112-106

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/05/21	H	Milwaukee Bucks	103-120
27/05/21	H	Milwaukee Bucks	84-113
24/05/21	A	Milwaukee Bucks	98-132
22/05/21	A	Milwaukee Bucks	107-109 OT
17/05/21	A	Detroit Pistons	120-107
16/05/21	A	Milwaukee Bucks	108-122
13/05/21	H	Philadelphia 76ers	106-94
11/05/21	A	Boston Celtics	129-121
09/05/21	A	Boston Celtics	130-124
08/05/21	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	121-112

Boston Celticslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/21	A	Brooklyn Nets	109-123
30/05/21	H	Brooklyn Nets	126-141
29/05/21	H	Brooklyn Nets	125-119
25/05/21	A	Brooklyn Nets	108-130
23/05/21	A	Brooklyn Nets	93-104
19/05/21	H	Washington Wizards	118-100
16/05/21	A	New York Knicks	92-96
15/05/21	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	124-108
13/05/21	A	Cleveland Cavaliers	94-102
11/05/21	H	Miami Heat	121-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat

NBA 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Boston Celtics

NBA 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Miami Heat	28	31	28	34	121
Boston Celtics	34	21	26	19	100

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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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