Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Aug 2021

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 85-89 (OT)

22-15 19-24 23-14 17-28 4-8

Position-

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets 🏆

Position-

Record-

FormWLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League

Other2021

Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Denver Nuggets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas Mavericks USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMavericks

Date

Competition

New Orleans Pelicans

#20

125-107

125

107

+18

115avg 103

H13/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#24

114-110

114

110

106avg 103

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#25

121-136

121

136

-15

115avg 103

A17/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

113-103

113

103

+10

109avg 103

A22/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

127-121

127

121

119avg 103

A26/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

108-118

108

118

-10

89avg 103

H29/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

81-106

106

-25

59avg 103

H31/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

105-100

105

100

94avg 103

A03/06

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

97-104

104

-7

no box

H05/06

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

111-126

111

126

-15

102avg 103

A06/06

NBA

32-30

45-28

34-22

14-27

31-26

35-26

26-31

22-27

22-38

38-38

35-37

26-23

33-30

27-25

26-25

27-23

35-33

36-40

30-19

26-29

34-31

27-32

25-26

22-29

22-31

23-30

15-21

21-24

35-28

21-26

33-21

16-25

28-26

17-22

32-25

20-31

38-35

24-35

23-30

26-26

223.3Avg total

110.2Scored

113.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	110.2	113.1	223.3	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.4	110.8	211.2	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	95.0	113.0	208.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar (18)	112.2	110.4	222.6	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker (11)	113.1	112.3	225.4	+0.8	45%

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

109-123

109

123

-14

100avg 108

H23/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

128-109

128

109

+19

122avg 108

H25/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

120-115

120

115

114avg 108

A28/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

95-115

115

-20

78avg 108

A29/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

147-140 OT

147

140

141avg 108

H02/06

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

126-115

126

115

+11

no box

A04/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

105-122

105

122

-17

no box

A08/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

98-123

123

-25

86avg 108

A10/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

102-116

102

116

-14

86avg 108

H12/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

118-125

118

125

-7

98avg 108

H14/06

NBA

30-35

31-23

25-38

23-27

31-25

42-36

28-26

27-22

39-30

25-29

20-20

36-36

24-32

23-25

19-36

29-22

38-25

27-37

27-32

29-27

29-33

32-35

37-33

28-14

28-28

30-29

21-31

26-34

21-25

21-27

25-34

31-37

27-37

28-22

21-31

26-26

22-28

33-35

28-33

35-29

235.1Avg total

114.8Scored

120.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	114.8	120.3	235.1	-5.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	109.8	120.2	230.0	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	112.3	116.3	228.6	-4.0	41%
vs Weaker (8)	118.8	106.2	225.0	+12.5	100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.6	29.2	58.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	29.1	28.7	57.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	30.2	29.8	60.1	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.0	30.8	61.8	+0.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	30.2	61.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	30.0	56.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	31.0	29.6	60.6	+1.4	61%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.5	28.5	56.1	-1.0	27%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	30.1	28.4	58.6	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.1	26.4	56.5	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	30.2	30.2	60.4	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	29.8	58.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	30.2	55.6	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	29.1	28.8	57.9	+0.3	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	33.0	27.5	60.5	+5.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.6	27.7	56.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	28.5	28.0	56.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	28.7	27.4	56.1	+1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.3	30.2	59.5	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	29.0	51.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	30.0	52.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	27.9	27.1	55.0	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	30.4	28.5	58.9	+1.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.1	27.4	56.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	31.4	28.4	59.7	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	27.1	26.5	53.6	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.2	29.8	59.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	29.6	58.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	28.8	28.2	57.0	+0.6	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	29.9	25.1	55.0	+4.8	62%	-

Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Orleans Pelicans

#20

77-58

+19

H13/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

#24

66-52

+14

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

#25

60-76

-16

A17/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

60-55

A22/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

71-73

-2

A26/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

61-63

-2

H29/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

45-61

-16

H31/05

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

56-54

A03/06

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

45-48

-3

H05/06

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

62-70

-8

A06/06

NBA

121.3Avg total

60.3Scored

61.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	58.2	56.9	115.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	57.6	56.7	114.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	58.9	57.2	116.2	+1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	60.3	61.0	121.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.8	59.2	113.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	60.0	108.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	58.9	56.7	115.6	+2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	57.9	57.1	115.0	+0.8	55%	-

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

61-58

H23/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

73-61

+12

H25/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

64-59

A28/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

47-57

-10

A29/05

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

65-62

H02/06

NBA

Portland Trail Blazers

#12

61-68

-7

A04/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

58-57

A08/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

42-52

-10

A10/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

55-59

-4

H12/06

NBA

Phoenix Suns

55-63

-8

H14/06

NBA

117.7Avg total

58.1Scored

59.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	59.2	55.8	115.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	61.4	54.8	116.2	+6.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	57.3	56.7	114.0	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	58.1	59.6	117.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.2	59.8	114.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	57.9	57.0	114.9	+1.0	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	62.9	52.6	115.5	+10.2	100%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.7	27.4	55.2	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.1	27.3	53.4	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	29.9	27.6	57.5	+2.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.9	25.7	53.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.6	50.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	28.0	49.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	28.2	26.6	54.8	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.6	28.7	56.4	-1.1	36%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.0	30.5	57.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.1	30.7	58.9	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.1	30.3	56.4	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	31.4	56.5	-6.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	32.4	58.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	26.0	31.1	57.1	-5.1	18%	-
vs Weaker (8)	29.9	28.9	58.8	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	26.8	52.9	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.1	26.0	52.1	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.0	27.8	53.8	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	26.4	48.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	25.0	51.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	25.2	27.1	52.3	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	27.5	26.5	54.0	+1.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	26.0	52.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.1	27.2	53.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.1	24.9	51.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	27.4	56.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	28.0	57.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	26.2	26.4	52.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	26.0	24.8	50.8	+1.2	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.8	54.2	108.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	52.2	53.3	105.5	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	55.9	55.5	111.4	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.9	52.1	102.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	51.6	98.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	53.0	100.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	53.3	53.7	107.1	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	55.2	55.2	110.4	+0.0	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	53.2	56.5	109.6	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	54.3	57.9	112.2	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	52.2	55.2	107.4	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.1	58.8	112.9	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.6	60.4	116.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (22)	52.2	57.5	109.7	-5.3	32%	-
vs Weaker (8)	55.9	53.6	109.5	+2.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 110.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.9	26.1	51.3%	-	52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.0	14.3	38.6%	-	42.9
🏀 Free throws	20.1	15.1	75.1%	-	15.1

They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	53.7	27.2	50.7%	-	54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.5	14.7	38.2%	-	44.1
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.9	76.1%	-	15.9

They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	26.8	57.8%	-	53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	13.1	36.6%	-	39.3
🏀 Free throws	24.4	20.0	82.0%	-	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.0	28.2	54.2%	-	56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.5	14.8	41.7%	-	44.4
🏀 Free throws	22.4	19.5	87.1%	-	19.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.2	27.3	54.4%	-	54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	37.8	13.8	36.5%	-	41.4
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.0	76.4%	-	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.1	29.1	53.8%	-	58.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.2	12.9	35.8%	-	38.8
🏀 Free throws	20.8	17.0	81.4%	-	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.3	27.7	54.1%	-	55.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.4	37.3%	-	37.3
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.3	78.3%	-	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.1	26.8	54.6%	-	53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.1	13.9	38.4%	-	41.6
🏀 Free throws	23.0	18.4	80.1%	-	18.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Aug 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Dallas Mavericks

LLWLLWWLWW

Denver Nuggets

LLLLWWLWWL

-2.8

Net rating

-5.9

115.1

Offensive rating

113.8

117.9

Defensive rating

119.7

54.1%

Effective FG%

53.4%

56.5%

Opp. effective FG%

57.6%

10.8%

Turnover %

10.7%

23.7%

Off. rebound %

25.1%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.23

38.6%

3-point %

38.2%

56.2%

Assist %

59.4%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Dallas Mavericks ■ Denver Nuggets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dallas Mavericks wins

Denver Nuggets wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/21	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	103-116
26/01/21	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	113-117
08/01/21	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	117-124 OT
12/03/20	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	113-97
09/01/20	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	106-107
30/10/19	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	106-109
15/03/19	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	100-99
23/02/19	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	104-114
19/12/18	Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks	126-118
07/03/18	Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets	118-107

Dallas Maverickslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/06/21	A	Los Angeles Clippers	111-126
05/06/21	H	Los Angeles Clippers	97-104
03/06/21	A	Los Angeles Clippers	105-100
31/05/21	H	Los Angeles Clippers	81-106
29/05/21	H	Los Angeles Clippers	108-118
26/05/21	A	Los Angeles Clippers	127-121
22/05/21	A	Los Angeles Clippers	113-103
17/05/21	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	121-136
15/05/21	H	Toronto Raptors	114-110
13/05/21	H	New Orleans Pelicans	125-107

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/06/21	H	Phoenix Suns	118-125
12/06/21	H	Phoenix Suns	102-116
10/06/21	A	Phoenix Suns	98-123
08/06/21	A	Phoenix Suns	105-122
04/06/21	A	Portland Trail Blazers	126-115
02/06/21	H	Portland Trail Blazers	147-140 OT
29/05/21	A	Portland Trail Blazers	95-115
28/05/21	A	Portland Trail Blazers	120-115
25/05/21	H	Portland Trail Blazers	128-109
23/05/21	H	Portland Trail Blazers	109-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2021

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Denver Nuggets

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2021

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Dallas Mavericks	22	19	23	17	4	85
Denver Nuggets	15	24	14	28	8	89

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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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