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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 125-113
34-29 26-22 37-24 28-38
Position#6
Record55-31
FormWWLLL
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game116.7
vs
Position#10
Record52-34
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.7
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 114
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
136-134 OT
136
134
+2
130avg 114
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
137-132 OT
137
132
+5
134avg 114
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
136-119
136
119
+17
140avg 114
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
127-107
127
107
+20
124avg 114
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
128-118
128
118
+10
126avg 114
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
112avg 114
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 114
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
75avg 114
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 114
A26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-28
29-26
29-36
33-27
36-43
29-29
27-24
32-28
31-35
27-37
29-29
38-24
37-33
31-39
39-22
29-25
34-27
25-24
31-34
37-22
37-34
33-22
31-35
27-27
23-33
39-29
29-17
25-26
39-25
25-39
29-26
21-29
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
239.2Avg total
121.6Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)121.3116.7238.0+4.664%
Season at home (43)120.5115.1235.6+5.567%
Season away (43)122.1118.3240.4+3.760%
Last 10 (10)121.6117.6239.2+4.070%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.4223.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)124.7121.0245.7+3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)117.1116.4233.5+0.760%
vs Weaker (12)130.7117.8248.5+12.883%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
103-115
103
115
-12
81avg 109
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
108-122
108
122
-14
99avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
124-104
124
104
+20
118avg 109
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
120-132
120
132
-12
106avg 109
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
136-132
136
132
+4
123avg 109
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
132-126
132
126
+6
128avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
105-116
105
116
-11
94avg 109
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
114avg 109
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 109
H26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
30-22
24-42
32-32
21-29
39-26
19-34
29-33
35-27
28-26
39-24
22-27
32-34
21-29
30-38
37-31
37-36
32-37
34-33
33-26
34-24
39-35
24-31
35-36
33-23
29-39
17-29
26-25
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
232.5Avg total
117.2Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (86)117.7114.2232.0+3.560%
Season at home (43)114.7110.4225.1+4.365%
Season away (43)120.8118.0238.8+2.756%
Last 10 (10)117.2115.3232.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.6225.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)100.0107.5207.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (20)112.8115.5228.4-2.755%
vs Weaker (6)127.7109.3237.0+18.3100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H04/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H18/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H21/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
122.1Avg total
60.7Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.659.4119.9+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.158.9119.0+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)61.260.0121.2+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)60.761.4122.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)57.858.6116.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.355.7115.0+3.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.558.5114.9-2.040%-
vs Weaker (12)66.061.4127.4+4.642%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A03/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H05/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A07/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A08/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A18/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
116.5Avg total
60.2Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.655.0112.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.356.4114.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)56.953.8110.8+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)60.256.3116.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)62.055.6117.6+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.548.598.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.056.0113.0+0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)65.055.8120.8+9.283%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.930.0
54.6%
54.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.913.2
35.8%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws26.422.0
83.3%
78.1%22.0
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.929.8
55.3%
54.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.1
36.4%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.3
77.2%
78.1%18.3
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWWLWLL
#6
League position
#10
+3.8
Net rating
+1.8
115.6
Offensive rating
114.0
111.8
Defensive rating
112.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
10.7%
Turnover %
12.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
36.4%
64.4%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 114.0Defence111.8 · 112.1Shooting54.2% · 55.0%3-point %35.8% · 36.4%Ball care10.7% · 12.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
24/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-113
21/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-119
18/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves116-105
13/04/26ASan Antonio Spurs128-118
11/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder127-107
09/04/26HMemphis Grizzlies136-119
07/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers137-132 OT
04/04/26HSan Antonio Spurs136-134 OT
02/04/26AUtah Jazz130-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
18/04/26ADenver Nuggets105-116
13/04/26HNew Orleans Pelicans132-126
11/04/26AHouston Rockets136-132
08/04/26AOrlando Magic120-132
07/04/26AIndiana Pacers124-104
05/04/26HCharlotte Hornets108-122
03/04/26APhiladelphia 76ers103-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game121.3120.5122.1
Allowed / game116.7115.1118.3
Point differential+4.6+5.5+3.7
Avg total238.0235.6240.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%37%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (29)50% (12)53% (17)
Overtime %10%9%12%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games864343
Win %60%65%56%
Points / game117.7114.7120.8
Allowed / game114.2110.4118.0
Point differential+3.5+4.3+2.7
Avg total232.0225.1238.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)58% (12)42% (12)
Overtime %5%2%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder84671780%119.1108.0+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs84632175%119.4111.0+8.4
3 Detroit Pistons86612571%116.8109.2+7.7
4 Boston Celtics86592769%114.8106.8+8.0
5 Los Angeles Lakers85562966%115.7113.9+1.9
6 Denver Nuggets86553164%121.3116.7+4.6
7 New York Knicks84533163%116.0109.8+6.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers86543263%119.0115.1+3.9
9 Houston Rockets86533362%114.7109.7+5.0
10 Minnesota Timberwolves86523460%117.7114.2+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors85483756%114.5111.6+3.0
12 Atlanta Hawks86483856%117.8115.8+2.0
13 Orlando Magic86483856%114.8113.8+1.0
14 Philadelphia 76ers87474054%115.0115.7-0.7
15 Charlotte Hornets84453954%115.8111.5+4.4
16 Phoenix Suns87464153%112.5111.2+1.3
17 Miami Heat82433952%121.1118.7+2.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers83424151%113.9112.8+1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers87444351%114.8115.5-0.7
20 Golden State Warriors84384645%114.5115.2-0.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks82325039%110.6116.8-6.2
22 Chicago Bulls82315138%116.3121.5-5.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans82265632%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Dallas Mavericks82265632%114.1119.6-5.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies82255730%114.7120.7-6.0
26 Utah Jazz82226027%117.6126.0-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings82226027%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.9115.9-10.0
29 Indiana Pacers82196323%112.4120.4-8.0
30 Washington Wizards82176521%112.9124.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34263728125
Minnesota Timberwolves29222438113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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