Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	103.5	106.1	209.6	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	105.6	111.4	217.0	-5.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	107.1	105.2	212.3	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker (8)	115.4	103.2	218.6	+12.1	88%

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denver Nuggets USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNuggets

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

112-105

112

105

110avg 108

A26/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

108-119

108

119

-11

102avg 108

A28/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

108-106

108

106

104avg 108

H30/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

99-106

106

-7

93avg 108

H04/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

80-106

106

-26

68avg 108

H07/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

117-90

117

+27

115avg 108

A11/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

115-107

115

107

112avg 108

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

112-97

112

+15

112avg 108

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

70-115

115

-45

53avg 108

A17/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

90-98

-8

79avg 108

H20/05

NBA

23-33

26-20

34-22

29-30

23-28

25-33

32-30

28-28

28-24

22-29

31-26

27-27

25-23

19-17

27-33

28-33

20-28

15-33

25-21

20-24

28-20

28-21

37-25

24-24

29-24

35-25

26-30

25-28

28-26

22-18

38-30

24-23

14-31

26-28

21-27

9-29

24-19

29-19

14-28

23-32

206.0Avg total

101.1Scored

104.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	101.1	104.9	206.0	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.8	101.4	202.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	103.6	103.2	206.8	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (14)	116.9	108.1	224.9	+8.8	86%

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	27.8	53.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	24.7	28.1	52.8	-3.3	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	27.0	27.4	54.4	-0.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	26.4	52.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	28.2	56.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	25.9	27.5	53.4	-1.7	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.0	28.5	53.5	-3.5	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.4	26.1	54.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	28.2	27.1	55.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	24.9	53.4	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	25.6	49.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	24.0	48.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	27.3	25.9	53.2	+1.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (14)	29.6	26.3	55.9	+3.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.2	25.8	53.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.1	26.9	55.1	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	25.8	24.1	49.8	+1.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	28.4	51.9	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	28.8	53.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	25.5	26.2	51.7	-0.7	41%	-
vs Weaker (8)	31.8	24.8	56.5	+7.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.6	26.9	53.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	26.8	51.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	28.6	27.0	55.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	24.3	49.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	22.2	50.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	25.3	25.8	51.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.0	28.1	56.1	-0.1	50%	-

Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Denver Nuggets

41-56

-15

H11/05

NBA

Denver Nuggets

49-64

-15

H13/05

NBA

Denver Nuggets

44-50

-6

A15/05

NBA

Denver Nuggets

59-40

+19

H17/05

NBA

Denver Nuggets

38-53

-15

A20/05

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

62-59

H23/05

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

60-48

+12

H25/05

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

52-60

-8

A27/05

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

49-49

A29/05

NBA

Dallas Mavericks

40-69

-29

H31/05

NBA

104.2Avg total

49.4Scored

54.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.8	53.6	106.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	52.8	55.0	107.8	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	52.8	51.5	104.2	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.4	54.8	104.2	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	57.0	109.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	51.4	53.7	105.1	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	56.8	53.2	110.0	+3.5	62%	-

This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

49-53

-4

A26/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

48-61

-13

A28/04

NBA

Los Angeles Lakers

#16

50-53

-3

H30/04

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

44-40

H04/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

35-61

-26

H07/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

56-41

+15

A11/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

64-49

+15

A13/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

50-44

H15/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

40-59

-19

A17/05

NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves

53-38

+15

H20/05

NBA

98.8Avg total

48.9Scored

49.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.9	52.9	107.9	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.9	53.9	106.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	57.2	51.9	109.1	+5.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	49.9	98.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.6	46.2	98.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	52.6	51.7	104.3	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	57.6	54.4	111.9	+3.2	57%	-

This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.5	24.8	53.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.4	24.1	52.6	+4.3	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	28.5	25.8	54.2	+2.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.4	26.9	55.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	26.6	55.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	28.5	25.2	53.7	+3.2	68%	-
vs Weaker (8)	28.5	23.5	52.0	+5.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	26.9	54.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	29.8	26.1	55.8	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.1	27.8	53.9	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	27.2	55.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	28.0	55.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	25.3	26.0	51.3	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	31.2	27.9	59.1	+3.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.1	26.3	54.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	28.8	25.9	54.7	+2.9	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	27.0	26.9	53.9	+0.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	24.4	50.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	27.8	52.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	27.3	26.2	53.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	30.1	26.5	56.6	+3.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.8	25.7	52.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.5	24.8	52.2	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.9	26.7	52.6	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	27.8	51.5	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	27.2	48.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	25.6	25.5	51.1	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	28.1	25.9	53.9	+2.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	56.5	51.1	107.6	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	57.2	50.0	107.2	+7.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	55.5	52.7	108.2	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.1	51.3	105.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.0	54.4	107.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	55.8	51.5	107.2	+4.3	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	58.6	50.0	108.6	+8.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.8	52.5	107.4	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	57.2	50.8	108.1	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	52.1	54.5	106.6	-2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.2	55.0	107.2	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	55.2	103.4	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	50.9	51.5	102.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	59.3	53.7	113.0	+5.6	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game

49%

36%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.1	25.8	52.5%	54.3%	51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	11.4	34.9%	35.9%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.7	74.4%	77.8%	17.7

They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game

49%

36%

15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	52.9	27.8	52.6%	54.3%	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	35.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.6	82.5%	77.8%	14.6

They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.8	28.2	55.5%	54.3%	56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.2	36.8%	35.9%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	19.7	16.1	81.7%	77.8%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.9	29.4	56.6%	54.3%	58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.1	32.7%	35.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.8	74.2%	77.8%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	27.4	54.7%	54.3%	54.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.2	12.4	37.3%	35.9%	37.1
🏀 Free throws	23.1	17.5	75.6%	77.8%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.7	30.6	54.9%	54.3%	61.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	11.5	36.7%	35.9%	34.6
🏀 Free throws	17.9	14.0	78.4%	77.8%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	51.6	26.9	52.1%	54.3%	53.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.3	37.1%	35.9%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.1	79.1%	77.8%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.1	29.1	53.8%	54.3%	58.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	10.4	33.0%	35.9%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.9	75.4%	77.8%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Minnesota Timberwolves

LWLLLWWLLL

Denver Nuggets

LLWWWLLWLW

League position

-2.8

Net rating

-4.1

111.5

Offensive rating

108.0

114.3

Defensive rating

112.0

52.4%

Effective FG%

52.0%

55.4%

Opp. effective FG%

53.8%

11.4%

Turnover %

13.1%

23.8%

Off. rebound %

22.1%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.21

34.9%

3-point %

34.0%

62.6%

Assist %

64.6%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Minnesota Timberwolves ■ Denver Nuggets

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Minnesota Timberwolves wins

Denver Nuggets wins

Date	Game	Score
20/05/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	90-98
17/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets	115-70
15/05/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	112-97
13/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets	107-115
11/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets	90-117
07/05/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	80-106
04/05/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	99-106
11/04/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	116-107
30/03/24	Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves	98-111
20/03/24	Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets	112-115

Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/24	H	Dallas Mavericks	103-124
29/05/24	A	Dallas Mavericks	105-100
27/05/24	A	Dallas Mavericks	107-116
25/05/24	H	Dallas Mavericks	108-109
23/05/24	H	Dallas Mavericks	105-108
20/05/24	A	Denver Nuggets	98-90
17/05/24	H	Denver Nuggets	115-70
15/05/24	A	Denver Nuggets	97-112
13/05/24	H	Denver Nuggets	107-115
11/05/24	H	Denver Nuggets	90-117

Denver Nuggetslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	90-98
17/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	70-115
15/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	112-97
13/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	115-107
11/05/24	A	Minnesota Timberwolves	117-90
07/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	80-106
04/05/24	H	Minnesota Timberwolves	99-106
30/04/24	H	Los Angeles Lakers	108-106
28/04/24	A	Los Angeles Lakers	108-119
26/04/24	A	Los Angeles Lakers	112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves

NBA 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Denver Nuggets

NBA 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Minnesota Timberwolves	22	37	32	35	126
Denver Nuggets	25	43	29	35	132

← all games of the day

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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