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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-114 (OT)
26-19 23-28 34-29 18-25 11-13
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
08 Oct 2021
DEN112
MIN114
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 109
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 109
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 109
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 109
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 109
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 109
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 109
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 109
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
235.1Avg total
114.8Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.8120.3235.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.3116.3228.6-4.041%
vs Weaker (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
114-107
114
107
+7
107avg 102
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
126-114
126
114
+12
124avg 102
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
136-140 OT
136
140
-4
128avg 102
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
135-139
135
139
-4
130avg 102
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 102
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
128-96
128
96
+32
126avg 102
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
119-100
119
100
+19
109avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
103-114
103
114
-11
91avg 102
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
108-124
108
124
-16
94avg 102
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
136-121
136
121
+15
134avg 102
H17/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
31-27
19-29
36-28
35-25
25-33
29-33
37-23
30-38
35-27
32-33
26-25
29-33
34-40
40-34
32-32
32-28
22-31
24-30
34-32
34-19
40-25
33-25
21-27
30-20
32-20
24-25
33-35
26-35
26-28
37-29
14-22
26-37
21-29
27-23
34-35
38-22
38-38
37-35
23-26
239.3Avg total
121.7Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)121.7117.6239.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)118.8111.0229.8+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)115.2121.5236.7-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (8)118.8110.9229.6+7.975%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.8115.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.8116.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)57.356.7114.0+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.6117.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.957.0114.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A28/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H30/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H02/05
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H06/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A08/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
74-44
74
44
+30
A09/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H14/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H15/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H17/05
NBA
119.0Avg total
61.2Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.861.1118.9-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.761.1116.8-5.424%-
Last 30 away (13)60.561.1121.6-0.531%-
Last 10 (10)61.257.8119.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)62.254.6116.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)57.162.1119.2-5.024%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)60.658.8119.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.2
50.7%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 121.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.829.8
57.5%
53.1%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.414.2
34.3%
35.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws27.419.5
71.2%
77.4%19.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLLLWW
#11
League position
#12
-5.9
Net rating
+3.9
113.8
Offensive rating
114.7
119.7
Defensive rating
110.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
10.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.2%
3-point %
34.3%
59.4%
Assist %
66.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 114.7Defence119.7 · 110.8Shooting53.4% · 54.8%3-point %38.2% · 34.3%Ball care10.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/21HDallas Mavericks136-121
15/05/21HBoston Celtics108-124
14/05/21HDenver Nuggets103-114
11/05/21ADetroit Pistons119-100
09/05/21AOrlando Magic128-96
08/05/21AMiami Heat112-121
06/05/21HMemphis Grizzlies135-139
02/05/21HNew Orleans Pelicans136-140 OT
30/04/21HGolden State Warriors126-114
28/04/21AHouston Rockets114-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2623341811112
Minnesota Timberwolves1928292513114
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