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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-78
15-14 30-25 20-17 20-22
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Other2022
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
08 Jul 2022
MIN85
DEN78
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
114-132
114
132
-18
102avg 106
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
127-121
127
121
+6
115avg 106
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
120-124
120
124
-4
110avg 106
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
109-104
109
104
+5
98avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
130-117
130
117
+13
129avg 106
A16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
96-124
96
124
-28
85avg 106
A20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
95-104
95
104
-9
82avg 106
H21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
119-118
119
118
+1
111avg 106
H24/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
109-111
109
111
-2
102avg 106
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-114
106
114
-8
93avg 106
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-35
28-32
27-34
21-31
30-35
34-22
33-25
30-39
21-33
26-37
40-27
33-27
20-26
33-25
25-33
31-20
41-33
24-29
32-30
33-25
32-33
17-27
28-36
19-28
39-21
12-23
32-23
12-37
33-28
27-28
33-31
26-31
31-28
24-25
30-21
24-37
29-28
23-21
32-25
22-40
229.4Avg total
112.5Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)112.5116.9229.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)105.0114.2219.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)114.0129.5243.5-15.50%
vs Similar (20)117.5117.1234.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (8)127.0111.4238.4+15.675%
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
130-136
130
136
-6
134avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
129-118
129
118
+11
130avg 108
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-116
97
116
-19
84avg 108
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
122-109
122
109
+13
123avg 108
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
141-146 OT
141
146
-5
133avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 108
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 108
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-40
30-30
29-28
36-38
24-28
38-33
33-33
34-24
30-32
14-32
35-21
18-31
34-30
36-23
35-25
17-31
33-36
36-33
39-26
27-40
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
238.4Avg total
116.9Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.9121.5238.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)110.0118.0228.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar (17)116.0118.5234.5-2.547%
vs Weaker (11)121.0111.8232.8+9.282%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -5.1-5.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
47-70
47
70
-23
H11/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A16/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A20/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H21/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H24/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A26/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H30/04
NBA
113.1Avg total
56.2Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.358.1119.4+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.154.1114.1+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)62.963.3126.2-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)56.256.9113.1-0.770%-
Last 5 (5)53.452.4105.8+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.561.5118.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (20)58.658.6117.3+0.065%-
vs Weaker (8)69.155.8124.9+13.475%-
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A03/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H06/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
D
69-69
69
69
+0
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
117.9Avg total
57.8Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.0118.0+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.860.2121.0+0.659%-
Last 30 away (13)59.055.1114.1+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)57.860.1117.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.656.8110.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (17)58.959.1117.9-0.241%-
vs Weaker (11)62.654.6117.3+8.082%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.0
50.1%
-48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.2
38.0%
-42.6
🏀 Free throws28.321.9
77.4%
-21.9
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.731.0
58.8%
-62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.4
34.2%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.720.7
80.5%
-20.7
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jul 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLLWLWL
-4.2
Net rating
-4.5
108.0
Offensive rating
114.5
112.2
Defensive rating
119.0
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.0%
3-point %
34.2%
62.3%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies106-114
26/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies109-111
24/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies119-118
21/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies95-104
20/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies96-124
16/04/22AMemphis Grizzlies130-117
13/04/22HLos Angeles Clippers109-104
11/04/22HChicago Bulls120-124
08/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs127-121
06/04/22HWashington Wizards114-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
11/04/22HLos Angeles Lakers141-146 OT
08/04/22HMemphis Grizzlies122-109
06/04/22HSan Antonio Spurs97-116
03/04/22ALos Angeles Lakers129-118
02/04/22HMinnesota Timberwolves130-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves1530202085
Denver Nuggets1425172278
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